Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on July 14, consistent with the market’s near-even weighting between those two outcomes and the lower probability assigned to 15°C or 18°C. July climatology shows an average high of roughly 15°C, but short-term model runs reflect modest warm advection and reduced cloud cover that support readings 1–2°C above the seasonal baseline. Ensemble spread remains modest at this 24–48-hour lead time, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any passing trough and the accuracy of local observations from official Argentine meteorological stations. Updated model guidance expected within the next 12 hours will likely narrow the range further before markets close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 14 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 14 juillet ?
16°C 100.0%
11°C ou moins <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$81,566 Vol.
$81,566 Vol.
14 juil. 2026
11°C ou moins
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Oui
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C ou plus
Non
16°C 100.0%
11°C ou moins <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$81,566 Vol.
$81,566 Vol.
14 juil. 2026
11°C ou moins
$9,181 Vol.
Non
12°C
$5,186 Vol.
Non
13°C
$4,992 Vol.
Non
14°C
$8,055 Vol.
Non
15°C
$29,345 Vol.
Non
16°C
$6,436 Vol.
Oui
17°C
$6,131 Vol.
Non
18°C
$5,905 Vol.
Non
19°C
$4,848 Vol.
Non
20°C
$901 Vol.
Non
21°C ou plus
$586 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on July 14, consistent with the market’s near-even weighting between those two outcomes and the lower probability assigned to 15°C or 18°C. July climatology shows an average high of roughly 15°C, but short-term model runs reflect modest warm advection and reduced cloud cover that support readings 1–2°C above the seasonal baseline. Ensemble spread remains modest at this 24–48-hour lead time, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any passing trough and the accuracy of local observations from official Argentine meteorological stations. Updated model guidance expected within the next 12 hours will likely narrow the range further before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 12, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$81,566Date de fin
14 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 12, 2026, 9:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on July 14, consistent with the market’s near-even weighting between those two outcomes and the lower probability assigned to 15°C or 18°C. July climatology shows an average high of roughly 15°C, but short-term model runs reflect modest warm advection and reduced cloud cover that support readings 1–2°C above the seasonal baseline. Ensemble spread remains modest at this 24–48-hour lead time, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any passing trough and the accuracy of local observations from official Argentine meteorological stations. Updated model guidance expected within the next 12 hours will likely narrow the range further before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$81,566Date de fin
14 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 12, 2026, 9:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on July 14, consistent with the market’s near-even weighting between those two outcomes and the lower probability assigned to 15°C or 18°C. July climatology shows an average high of roughly 15°C, but short-term model runs reflect modest warm advection and reduced cloud cover that support readings 1–2°C above the seasonal baseline. Ensemble spread remains modest at this 24–48-hour lead time, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any passing trough and the accuracy of local observations from official Argentine meteorological stations. Updated model guidance expected within the next 12 hours will likely narrow the range further before markets close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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