Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, indicate a maximum temperature near 11–12 °C in Buenos Aires on July 4, driven by persistent overcast conditions and southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. These factors limit daytime solar heating and keep surface temperatures below the July climatological average of 13–15 °C. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains modest given the proximity to the event, primarily tied to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; traders appear to weight outcomes accordingly, with the heaviest volume on 11 °C and 12 °C reflecting model consensus while allowing modest probability for 10 °C or 13 °C if conditions shift.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 4 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 4 juillet ?
10°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$50,445 Vol.
$50,445 Vol.
4 juil. 2026
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$50,445 Vol.
$50,445 Vol.
4 juil. 2026
6°C or below
$2,479 Vol.
No
7°C
$3,321 Vol.
No
8°C
$4,676 Vol.
No
9°C
$4,922 Vol.
No
10°C
$7,327 Vol.
Yes
11°C
$9,673 Vol.
No
12°C
$8,029 Vol.
No
13°C
$3,379 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,116 Vol.
No
15°C
$2,058 Vol.
No
16°C or higher
$2,465 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, indicate a maximum temperature near 11–12 °C in Buenos Aires on July 4, driven by persistent overcast conditions and southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. These factors limit daytime solar heating and keep surface temperatures below the July climatological average of 13–15 °C. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains modest given the proximity to the event, primarily tied to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; traders appear to weight outcomes accordingly, with the heaviest volume on 11 °C and 12 °C reflecting model consensus while allowing modest probability for 10 °C or 13 °C if conditions shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 2, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$50,445Date de fin
4 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 2, 2026, 9:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, indicate a maximum temperature near 11–12 °C in Buenos Aires on July 4, driven by persistent overcast conditions and southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. These factors limit daytime solar heating and keep surface temperatures below the July climatological average of 13–15 °C. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains modest given the proximity to the event, primarily tied to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; traders appear to weight outcomes accordingly, with the heaviest volume on 11 °C and 12 °C reflecting model consensus while allowing modest probability for 10 °C or 13 °C if conditions shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,445Date de fin
4 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 2, 2026, 9:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, indicate a maximum temperature near 11–12 °C in Buenos Aires on July 4, driven by persistent overcast conditions and southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. These factors limit daytime solar heating and keep surface temperatures below the July climatological average of 13–15 °C. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains modest given the proximity to the event, primarily tied to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; traders appear to weight outcomes accordingly, with the heaviest volume on 11 °C and 12 °C reflecting model consensus while allowing modest probability for 10 °C or 13 °C if conditions shift.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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