Traders currently favor a 17°C or 16°C daily maximum in Cape Town on July 22, with those outcomes together capturing nearly 70% of market-implied probability, reflecting tight consensus in short-range model guidance. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the South Atlantic high-pressure system and any approaching mid-latitude cold fronts that typically moderate winter highs in the region’s Mediterranean climate. Ensemble runs from global models show minimal spread around 16–17°C, with small differences arising from the precise timing of onshore flow versus katabatic winds from the interior. Historical July maxima average near 17°C, providing a useful baseline, though day-to-day variability remains high. Updated model cycles and official South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée au Cap le 22 juillet ?
Température la plus élevée au Cap le 22 juillet ?
16°C 100.0%
11°C ou moins <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$22,299 Vol.
$22,299 Vol.
22 juil. 2026
11°C ou moins
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Oui
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C ou plus
Non
16°C 100.0%
11°C ou moins <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$22,299 Vol.
$22,299 Vol.
22 juil. 2026
11°C ou moins
$121 Vol.
Non
12°C
$396 Vol.
Non
13°C
$3,278 Vol.
Non
14°C
$2,436 Vol.
Non
15°C
$4,219 Vol.
Non
16°C
$5,095 Vol.
Oui
17°C
$2,673 Vol.
Non
18°C
$2,021 Vol.
Non
19°C
$1,097 Vol.
Non
20°C
$568 Vol.
Non
21°C ou plus
$393 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders currently favor a 17°C or 16°C daily maximum in Cape Town on July 22, with those outcomes together capturing nearly 70% of market-implied probability, reflecting tight consensus in short-range model guidance. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the South Atlantic high-pressure system and any approaching mid-latitude cold fronts that typically moderate winter highs in the region’s Mediterranean climate. Ensemble runs from global models show minimal spread around 16–17°C, with small differences arising from the precise timing of onshore flow versus katabatic winds from the interior. Historical July maxima average near 17°C, providing a useful baseline, though day-to-day variability remains high. Updated model cycles and official South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$22,299Date de fin
22 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders currently favor a 17°C or 16°C daily maximum in Cape Town on July 22, with those outcomes together capturing nearly 70% of market-implied probability, reflecting tight consensus in short-range model guidance. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the South Atlantic high-pressure system and any approaching mid-latitude cold fronts that typically moderate winter highs in the region’s Mediterranean climate. Ensemble runs from global models show minimal spread around 16–17°C, with small differences arising from the precise timing of onshore flow versus katabatic winds from the interior. Historical July maxima average near 17°C, providing a useful baseline, though day-to-day variability remains high. Updated model cycles and official South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,299Date de fin
22 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Traders currently favor a 17°C or 16°C daily maximum in Cape Town on July 22, with those outcomes together capturing nearly 70% of market-implied probability, reflecting tight consensus in short-range model guidance. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the South Atlantic high-pressure system and any approaching mid-latitude cold fronts that typically moderate winter highs in the region’s Mediterranean climate. Ensemble runs from global models show minimal spread around 16–17°C, with small differences arising from the precise timing of onshore flow versus katabatic winds from the interior. Historical July maxima average near 17°C, providing a useful baseline, though day-to-day variability remains high. Updated model cycles and official South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes