Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 19–21 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate southeasterly winds, consistent with typical mid-June climatology for Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter regime. Official observations through midday show temperatures peaking in this narrow band without signs of anomalous warming from berg winds or subtropical ridging. The 100 % market-implied probability for exactly 21 °C reflects this tight consensus around the daily high, with resolution criteria tied to verified maximum readings. An unforecasted warm advection event or measurement revision could still shift the outcome, though such developments appear improbable within the remaining daylight hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 16?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$35,562 Vol.
$35,562 Vol.
16 juin 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$35,562 Vol.
$35,562 Vol.
16 juin 2026
14°C or below
$657 Vol.
No
15°C
$335 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,376 Vol.
No
17°C
$6,484 Vol.
No
18°C
$6,757 Vol.
No
19°C
$4,466 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,340 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,720 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$2,643 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,604 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$1,179 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 19–21 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate southeasterly winds, consistent with typical mid-June climatology for Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter regime. Official observations through midday show temperatures peaking in this narrow band without signs of anomalous warming from berg winds or subtropical ridging. The 100 % market-implied probability for exactly 21 °C reflects this tight consensus around the daily high, with resolution criteria tied to verified maximum readings. An unforecasted warm advection event or measurement revision could still shift the outcome, though such developments appear improbable within the remaining daylight hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 1:09 AM ET
Volume
$35,562Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 1:09 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 19–21 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate southeasterly winds, consistent with typical mid-June climatology for Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter regime. Official observations through midday show temperatures peaking in this narrow band without signs of anomalous warming from berg winds or subtropical ridging. The 100 % market-implied probability for exactly 21 °C reflects this tight consensus around the daily high, with resolution criteria tied to verified maximum readings. An unforecasted warm advection event or measurement revision could still shift the outcome, though such developments appear improbable within the remaining daylight hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,562Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 1:09 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 19–21 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate southeasterly winds, consistent with typical mid-June climatology for Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter regime. Official observations through midday show temperatures peaking in this narrow band without signs of anomalous warming from berg winds or subtropical ridging. The 100 % market-implied probability for exactly 21 °C reflects this tight consensus around the daily high, with resolution criteria tied to verified maximum readings. An unforecasted warm advection event or measurement revision could still shift the outcome, though such developments appear improbable within the remaining daylight hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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