Trader consensus around 18–19°C for Cape Town’s June 27 maximum reflects short-range forecast model spread typical of Southern Hemisphere winter conditions. The Benguela Current keeps baseline coastal temperatures mild, while passing Atlantic cold fronts and variable southeasterly or northwesterly winds can shift daily maxima by 2–3°C within 48 hours. Current ensemble guidance shows limited divergence in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, producing tightly clustered probabilities from 17–20°C. Measurement at the official Cape Town International Airport station further narrows outcomes, as local topography around Table Mountain can create microclimatic differences not fully resolved until the final model runs. No major synoptic feature has yet locked in a clearer signal ahead of the weekend.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée au Cap le 27 juin ?
17°C 100.0%
12°C ou moins <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$56,000 Vol.
$56,000 Vol.
12°C ou moins
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Oui
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C ou plus
Non
17°C 100.0%
12°C ou moins <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$56,000 Vol.
$56,000 Vol.
12°C ou moins
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Oui
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 25, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus around 18–19°C for Cape Town’s June 27 maximum reflects short-range forecast model spread typical of Southern Hemisphere winter conditions. The Benguela Current keeps baseline coastal temperatures mild, while passing Atlantic cold fronts and variable southeasterly or northwesterly winds can shift daily maxima by 2–3°C within 48 hours. Current ensemble guidance shows limited divergence in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, producing tightly clustered probabilities from 17–20°C. Measurement at the official Cape Town International Airport station further narrows outcomes, as local topography around Table Mountain can create microclimatic differences not fully resolved until the final model runs. No major synoptic feature has yet locked in a clearer signal ahead of the weekend.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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