Recent model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to mostly cloudy skies and possible scattered showers over Chengdu on July 5, keeping daytime maximum temperatures centered near 33–35 °C. These conditions arise from the persistent influence of the East Asian monsoon, which sustains high humidity and limits strong solar heating within the Sichuan Basin’s topographic trap. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing and coverage of convection, which can shave several degrees off peak readings if rain arrives earlier or deepen warming if skies clear. Historical July climatology shows similar setups yielding highs in this narrow band, supporting the closely bunched market-implied odds around 33–35 °C while leaving room for 36 °C or higher only if subsidence strengthens.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 5 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 5 juillet ?
37°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$91,172 Vol.
$91,172 Vol.
5 juil. 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$91,172 Vol.
$91,172 Vol.
5 juil. 2026
29°C or below
$1,561 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,067 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,328 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,338 Vol.
No
33°C
$8,187 Vol.
No
34°C
$13,959 Vol.
No
35°C
$17,911 Vol.
No
36°C
$12,956 Vol.
No
37°C
$12,055 Vol.
Yes
38°C
$9,476 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$5,335 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to mostly cloudy skies and possible scattered showers over Chengdu on July 5, keeping daytime maximum temperatures centered near 33–35 °C. These conditions arise from the persistent influence of the East Asian monsoon, which sustains high humidity and limits strong solar heating within the Sichuan Basin’s topographic trap. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing and coverage of convection, which can shave several degrees off peak readings if rain arrives earlier or deepen warming if skies clear. Historical July climatology shows similar setups yielding highs in this narrow band, supporting the closely bunched market-implied odds around 33–35 °C while leaving room for 36 °C or higher only if subsidence strengthens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$91,172Date de fin
5 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to mostly cloudy skies and possible scattered showers over Chengdu on July 5, keeping daytime maximum temperatures centered near 33–35 °C. These conditions arise from the persistent influence of the East Asian monsoon, which sustains high humidity and limits strong solar heating within the Sichuan Basin’s topographic trap. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing and coverage of convection, which can shave several degrees off peak readings if rain arrives earlier or deepen warming if skies clear. Historical July climatology shows similar setups yielding highs in this narrow band, supporting the closely bunched market-implied odds around 33–35 °C while leaving room for 36 °C or higher only if subsidence strengthens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$91,172Date de fin
5 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to mostly cloudy skies and possible scattered showers over Chengdu on July 5, keeping daytime maximum temperatures centered near 33–35 °C. These conditions arise from the persistent influence of the East Asian monsoon, which sustains high humidity and limits strong solar heating within the Sichuan Basin’s topographic trap. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing and coverage of convection, which can shave several degrees off peak readings if rain arrives earlier or deepen warming if skies clear. Historical July climatology shows similar setups yielding highs in this narrow band, supporting the closely bunched market-implied odds around 33–35 °C while leaving room for 36 °C or higher only if subsidence strengthens.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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