Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 27°C (28%) and 28°C (30%) for Chongqing's highest temperature at Jiangbei International Airport on April 19, reflecting tight forecast clustering from China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs near 27-28°C amid a warming spring trend. Recent observations—24°C on April 16 and around 26°C expected April 17—show gradual increases, but incoming mid-level clouds and a 90% chance of afternoon thunderstorms (per AccuWeather) could suppress peaks by limiting solar heating. Differentiating factors include convective timing, cloud opacity, and light easterly winds (9 km/h), with 1-2°C model spread typical at 48-hour range; new 12z runs and CMA bulletins expected to refine odds before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 19?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 19?
28°C 32%
27°C 28%
29°C 17%
26°C 13%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
13%
27°C
28%
28°C
32%
29°C
17%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
7%
28°C 32%
27°C 28%
29°C 17%
26°C 13%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
13%
27°C
28%
28°C
32%
29°C
17%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 17, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 27°C (28%) and 28°C (30%) for Chongqing's highest temperature at Jiangbei International Airport on April 19, reflecting tight forecast clustering from China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs near 27-28°C amid a warming spring trend. Recent observations—24°C on April 16 and around 26°C expected April 17—show gradual increases, but incoming mid-level clouds and a 90% chance of afternoon thunderstorms (per AccuWeather) could suppress peaks by limiting solar heating. Differentiating factors include convective timing, cloud opacity, and light easterly winds (9 km/h), with 1-2°C model spread typical at 48-hour range; new 12z runs and CMA bulletins expected to refine odds before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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