Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak highs in Chongqing clustering near 39–41 °C on July 16, with close market-implied odds reflecting modest uncertainty in maximum temperature. Subtropical high pressure, strong July solar insolation, and the region’s characteristic high humidity and urban heat-island effects support elevated readings, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could limit peaks. Historical midsummer baselines near 33–35 °C provide context for the current warmer pattern; traders weigh the latest high-resolution model outputs and any revisions in steering flow or moisture return as the primary near-term catalysts ahead of the daily observation window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 16 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 16 juillet ?
40°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$53,970 Vol.
$53,970 Vol.
16 juil. 2026
35°C or below
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
Yes
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
40°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$53,970 Vol.
$53,970 Vol.
16 juil. 2026
35°C or below
$4,532 Vol.
No
36°C
$2,349 Vol.
No
37°C
$5,968 Vol.
No
38°C
$7,313 Vol.
No
39°C
$7,693 Vol.
No
40°C
$7,790 Vol.
Yes
41°C
$5,170 Vol.
No
42°C
$7,009 Vol.
No
43°C
$4,558 Vol.
No
44°C
$944 Vol.
No
45°C or higher
$643 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak highs in Chongqing clustering near 39–41 °C on July 16, with close market-implied odds reflecting modest uncertainty in maximum temperature. Subtropical high pressure, strong July solar insolation, and the region’s characteristic high humidity and urban heat-island effects support elevated readings, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could limit peaks. Historical midsummer baselines near 33–35 °C provide context for the current warmer pattern; traders weigh the latest high-resolution model outputs and any revisions in steering flow or moisture return as the primary near-term catalysts ahead of the daily observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$53,970Date de fin
16 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak highs in Chongqing clustering near 39–41 °C on July 16, with close market-implied odds reflecting modest uncertainty in maximum temperature. Subtropical high pressure, strong July solar insolation, and the region’s characteristic high humidity and urban heat-island effects support elevated readings, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could limit peaks. Historical midsummer baselines near 33–35 °C provide context for the current warmer pattern; traders weigh the latest high-resolution model outputs and any revisions in steering flow or moisture return as the primary near-term catalysts ahead of the daily observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$53,970Date de fin
16 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak highs in Chongqing clustering near 39–41 °C on July 16, with close market-implied odds reflecting modest uncertainty in maximum temperature. Subtropical high pressure, strong July solar insolation, and the region’s characteristic high humidity and urban heat-island effects support elevated readings, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could limit peaks. Historical midsummer baselines near 33–35 °C provide context for the current warmer pattern; traders weigh the latest high-resolution model outputs and any revisions in steering flow or moisture return as the primary near-term catalysts ahead of the daily observation window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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