Recent heatwave conditions in Chongqing, with the city recording its first 40°C day on July 10, have elevated baseline temperatures, yet short-term forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate moderating influences for July 17. Model runs show potential for scattered showers or increased cloud cover, which could limit peak solar insolation and cap the daily maximum near 33–36°C. These factors create tight clustering in market-implied odds around 34°C and 35°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact convective activity, humidity levels, and steering winds that determine whether the region achieves or falls short of higher thresholds. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 17 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 17 juillet ?
34°C 100.0%
31°C ou moins <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$214,726 Vol.
$214,726 Vol.
17 juil. 2026
31°C ou moins
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Oui
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C
Non
38°C
Non
39°C
Non
40°C
Non
41°C ou plus
Non
34°C 100.0%
31°C ou moins <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$214,726 Vol.
$214,726 Vol.
17 juil. 2026
31°C ou moins
$39,492 Vol.
Non
32°C
$27,708 Vol.
Non
33°C
$40,124 Vol.
Non
34°C
$34,826 Vol.
Oui
35°C
$10,964 Vol.
Non
36°C
$12,565 Vol.
Non
37°C
$15,894 Vol.
Non
38°C
$18,963 Vol.
Non
39°C
$11,476 Vol.
Non
40°C
$1,879 Vol.
Non
41°C ou plus
$832 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heatwave conditions in Chongqing, with the city recording its first 40°C day on July 10, have elevated baseline temperatures, yet short-term forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate moderating influences for July 17. Model runs show potential for scattered showers or increased cloud cover, which could limit peak solar insolation and cap the daily maximum near 33–36°C. These factors create tight clustering in market-implied odds around 34°C and 35°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact convective activity, humidity levels, and steering winds that determine whether the region achieves or falls short of higher thresholds. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$214,726Date de fin
17 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heatwave conditions in Chongqing, with the city recording its first 40°C day on July 10, have elevated baseline temperatures, yet short-term forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate moderating influences for July 17. Model runs show potential for scattered showers or increased cloud cover, which could limit peak solar insolation and cap the daily maximum near 33–36°C. These factors create tight clustering in market-implied odds around 34°C and 35°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact convective activity, humidity levels, and steering winds that determine whether the region achieves or falls short of higher thresholds. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$214,726Date de fin
17 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent heatwave conditions in Chongqing, with the city recording its first 40°C day on July 10, have elevated baseline temperatures, yet short-term forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate moderating influences for July 17. Model runs show potential for scattered showers or increased cloud cover, which could limit peak solar insolation and cap the daily maximum near 33–36°C. These factors create tight clustering in market-implied odds around 34°C and 35°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact convective activity, humidity levels, and steering winds that determine whether the region achieves or falls short of higher thresholds. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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