Ongoing heatwave conditions across southwest China, with Chongqing recording multiple days above 37°C in mid-July including a 40°C peak on July 10, underpin trader focus on 39–41°C outcomes for July 25. Short-range models show consensus near 37–40°C amid high humidity and limited cloud cover, though slight disagreements on afternoon convection or steering patterns create the tight spread between those bins. Historical July maxima average 33–37°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline and persistence of the subtropical ridge favor the upper end. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and next model runs within 48 hours remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities ahead of the daily high measurement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 25 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 25 juillet ?
39°C 100.0%
34°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$89,081 Vol.
$89,081 Vol.
25 juil. 2026
34°C or below
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
34°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$89,081 Vol.
$89,081 Vol.
25 juil. 2026
34°C or below
$2,527 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,167 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,972 Vol.
No
37°C
$11,377 Vol.
No
38°C
$11,541 Vol.
No
39°C
$17,355 Vol.
Yes
40°C
$20,064 Vol.
No
41°C
$9,485 Vol.
No
42°C
$7,190 Vol.
No
43°C
$2,427 Vol.
No
44°C or higher
$976 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across southwest China, with Chongqing recording multiple days above 37°C in mid-July including a 40°C peak on July 10, underpin trader focus on 39–41°C outcomes for July 25. Short-range models show consensus near 37–40°C amid high humidity and limited cloud cover, though slight disagreements on afternoon convection or steering patterns create the tight spread between those bins. Historical July maxima average 33–37°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline and persistence of the subtropical ridge favor the upper end. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and next model runs within 48 hours remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities ahead of the daily high measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$89,081Date de fin
25 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across southwest China, with Chongqing recording multiple days above 37°C in mid-July including a 40°C peak on July 10, underpin trader focus on 39–41°C outcomes for July 25. Short-range models show consensus near 37–40°C amid high humidity and limited cloud cover, though slight disagreements on afternoon convection or steering patterns create the tight spread between those bins. Historical July maxima average 33–37°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline and persistence of the subtropical ridge favor the upper end. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and next model runs within 48 hours remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities ahead of the daily high measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$89,081Date de fin
25 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Ongoing heatwave conditions across southwest China, with Chongqing recording multiple days above 37°C in mid-July including a 40°C peak on July 10, underpin trader focus on 39–41°C outcomes for July 25. Short-range models show consensus near 37–40°C amid high humidity and limited cloud cover, though slight disagreements on afternoon convection or steering patterns create the tight spread between those bins. Historical July maxima average 33–37°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline and persistence of the subtropical ridge favor the upper end. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and next model runs within 48 hours remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities ahead of the daily high measurement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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