Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to a highest temperature of 33–35°C on September 2, driven by stable high-pressure ridging over the Sichuan Basin, light northerly winds, and clear skies that allow strong daytime solar heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation. Chongqing’s topographic setting traps warm air and limits ventilation, sustaining late-summer heat even as the monsoon transition begins, while climatological averages for early September hover near 34°C. The near-even market split between 38°C+ and 28°C-or-below reflects trader focus on forecast uncertainty ranges, potential last-minute model shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing, and the binary resolution thresholds rather than any observed extreme signals. Updated runs ahead of the date will clarify whether subtle changes in humidity or wind strengthen or moderate the peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 2 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 2 septembre ?
34°C 31%
35°C 28%
36°C 18%
33°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
9%
33°C
12%
34°C
31%
35°C
28%
36°C
18%
37°C
9%
38°C or higher
8%
34°C 31%
35°C 28%
36°C 18%
33°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
28°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
29°C
$5 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C
$0 Vol.
9%
33°C
$2 Vol.
12%
34°C
$0 Vol.
31%
35°C
$0 Vol.
28%
36°C
$0 Vol.
18%
37°C
$0 Vol.
9%
38°C or higher
$7 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to a highest temperature of 33–35°C on September 2, driven by stable high-pressure ridging over the Sichuan Basin, light northerly winds, and clear skies that allow strong daytime solar heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation. Chongqing’s topographic setting traps warm air and limits ventilation, sustaining late-summer heat even as the monsoon transition begins, while climatological averages for early September hover near 34°C. The near-even market split between 38°C+ and 28°C-or-below reflects trader focus on forecast uncertainty ranges, potential last-minute model shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing, and the binary resolution thresholds rather than any observed extreme signals. Updated runs ahead of the date will clarify whether subtle changes in humidity or wind strengthen or moderate the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$12Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to a highest temperature of 33–35°C on September 2, driven by stable high-pressure ridging over the Sichuan Basin, light northerly winds, and clear skies that allow strong daytime solar heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation. Chongqing’s topographic setting traps warm air and limits ventilation, sustaining late-summer heat even as the monsoon transition begins, while climatological averages for early September hover near 34°C. The near-even market split between 38°C+ and 28°C-or-below reflects trader focus on forecast uncertainty ranges, potential last-minute model shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing, and the binary resolution thresholds rather than any observed extreme signals. Updated runs ahead of the date will clarify whether subtle changes in humidity or wind strengthen or moderate the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to a highest temperature of 33–35°C on September 2, driven by stable high-pressure ridging over the Sichuan Basin, light northerly winds, and clear skies that allow strong daytime solar heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation. Chongqing’s topographic setting traps warm air and limits ventilation, sustaining late-summer heat even as the monsoon transition begins, while climatological averages for early September hover near 34°C. The near-even market split between 38°C+ and 28°C-or-below reflects trader focus on forecast uncertainty ranges, potential last-minute model shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing, and the binary resolution thresholds rather than any observed extreme signals. Updated runs ahead of the date will clarify whether subtle changes in humidity or wind strengthen or moderate the peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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