Latest ensemble forecasts from major weather models, aggregated by services tracking China Meteorological Administration data, project a high of 33°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 19 under partly sunny conditions with light winds, boosting trader sentiment for that outcome at 24.5% implied probability amid reduced cloud cover following thunderstorms on April 17-18. The close contest with 31°C and 32°C at 21% each stems from model spread: some runs factor in lingering humidity and potential afternoon showers suppressing peaks to 31°C, while others emphasize subtropical ridge influence and urban heat island effects pushing toward 33°C. Historical April highs average 27°C, but recent diurnal heating trends support this warmer outlook; watch CMA updates tomorrow for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 19?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 19?
33°C 25%
32°C 21%
31°C 20%
34°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
27°C or below
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
10%
30°C
12%
31°C
20%
32°C
21%
33°C
25%
34°C
12%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 25%
32°C 21%
31°C 20%
34°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
27°C or below
$274 Vol.
2%
28°C
$85 Vol.
5%
29°C
$132 Vol.
10%
30°C
$8 Vol.
12%
31°C
$50 Vol.
20%
32°C
$8 Vol.
21%
33°C
$39 Vol.
25%
34°C
$30 Vol.
12%
35°C
$206 Vol.
4%
36°C
$499 Vol.
3%
37°C or higher
$245 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from major weather models, aggregated by services tracking China Meteorological Administration data, project a high of 33°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 19 under partly sunny conditions with light winds, boosting trader sentiment for that outcome at 24.5% implied probability amid reduced cloud cover following thunderstorms on April 17-18. The close contest with 31°C and 32°C at 21% each stems from model spread: some runs factor in lingering humidity and potential afternoon showers suppressing peaks to 31°C, while others emphasize subtropical ridge influence and urban heat island effects pushing toward 33°C. Historical April highs average 27°C, but recent diurnal heating trends support this warmer outlook; watch CMA updates tomorrow for refined guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volume
$1,296Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from major weather models, aggregated by services tracking China Meteorological Administration data, project a high of 33°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 19 under partly sunny conditions with light winds, boosting trader sentiment for that outcome at 24.5% implied probability amid reduced cloud cover following thunderstorms on April 17-18. The close contest with 31°C and 32°C at 21% each stems from model spread: some runs factor in lingering humidity and potential afternoon showers suppressing peaks to 31°C, while others emphasize subtropical ridge influence and urban heat island effects pushing toward 33°C. Historical April highs average 27°C, but recent diurnal heating trends support this warmer outlook; watch CMA updates tomorrow for refined guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,296Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major weather models, aggregated by services tracking China Meteorological Administration data, project a high of 33°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 19 under partly sunny conditions with light winds, boosting trader sentiment for that outcome at 24.5% implied probability amid reduced cloud cover following thunderstorms on April 17-18. The close contest with 31°C and 32°C at 21% each stems from model spread: some runs factor in lingering humidity and potential afternoon showers suppressing peaks to 31°C, while others emphasize subtropical ridge influence and urban heat island effects pushing toward 33°C. Historical April highs average 27°C, but recent diurnal heating trends support this warmer outlook; watch CMA updates tomorrow for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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