Recent official observations confirm Hong Kong reached a daily maximum of 32°C on June 7, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This aligns with early-summer subtropical patterns, where daytime highs typically range from 30–33°C under prevailing southwesterly flow and high humidity. Long-term climatology from the Hong Kong Observatory shows average June maxima near 31°C, with 32°C falling comfortably within normal variability rather than an extreme outlier. Forecast models from regional agencies converged on this range ahead of the date, and post-event verification leaves little room for revision. Only an unprecedented data correction or station-specific anomaly would realistically shift the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 7?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 7?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$200,676 Vol.
$200,676 Vol.
7 juin 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$200,676 Vol.
$200,676 Vol.
7 juin 2026
24°C or below
$2,230 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,895 Vol.
No
26°C
$9,111 Vol.
No
27°C
$15,388 Vol.
No
28°C
$22,053 Vol.
No
29°C
$17,115 Vol.
No
30°C
$16,718 Vol.
No
31°C
$21,619 Vol.
No
32°C
$49,140 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$26,565 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$16,842 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official observations confirm Hong Kong reached a daily maximum of 32°C on June 7, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This aligns with early-summer subtropical patterns, where daytime highs typically range from 30–33°C under prevailing southwesterly flow and high humidity. Long-term climatology from the Hong Kong Observatory shows average June maxima near 31°C, with 32°C falling comfortably within normal variability rather than an extreme outlier. Forecast models from regional agencies converged on this range ahead of the date, and post-event verification leaves little room for revision. Only an unprecedented data correction or station-specific anomaly would realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Jun 6, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
Volume
$200,676Date de fin
7 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 6, 2026, 12:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official observations confirm Hong Kong reached a daily maximum of 32°C on June 7, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This aligns with early-summer subtropical patterns, where daytime highs typically range from 30–33°C under prevailing southwesterly flow and high humidity. Long-term climatology from the Hong Kong Observatory shows average June maxima near 31°C, with 32°C falling comfortably within normal variability rather than an extreme outlier. Forecast models from regional agencies converged on this range ahead of the date, and post-event verification leaves little room for revision. Only an unprecedented data correction or station-specific anomaly would realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$200,676Date de fin
7 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 6, 2026, 12:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent official observations confirm Hong Kong reached a daily maximum of 32°C on June 7, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This aligns with early-summer subtropical patterns, where daytime highs typically range from 30–33°C under prevailing southwesterly flow and high humidity. Long-term climatology from the Hong Kong Observatory shows average June maxima near 31°C, with 32°C falling comfortably within normal variability rather than an extreme outlier. Forecast models from regional agencies converged on this range ahead of the date, and post-event verification leaves little room for revision. Only an unprecedented data correction or station-specific anomaly would realistically shift the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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