National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 86°F in Houston on April 17 under mostly sunny skies and building high pressure aloft, fostering warm, humid conditions with only 20% precipitation odds and light southeast winds. However, trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 82-83°F at 39.5% implied probability over 84-85°F at 30.5%, reflecting uncertainty from potential sea breeze incursions, lingering Gulf moisture capping boundary layer heating, and model spread—GFS ensembles leaning warmer while some runs show diurnal cloud development. This genuine forecast divergence, against April climatological highs around 79°F, underscores sensitivity to afternoon insolation and mixing; watch late April 16 updates from NOAA for refinement ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Houston on April 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 32%
80-81°F 15%
86-87°F 13%
$11,072 Vol.
$11,072 Vol.
79°F or below
5%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 32%
80-81°F 15%
86-87°F 13%
$11,072 Vol.
$11,072 Vol.
79°F or below
5%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 86°F in Houston on April 17 under mostly sunny skies and building high pressure aloft, fostering warm, humid conditions with only 20% precipitation odds and light southeast winds. However, trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 82-83°F at 39.5% implied probability over 84-85°F at 30.5%, reflecting uncertainty from potential sea breeze incursions, lingering Gulf moisture capping boundary layer heating, and model spread—GFS ensembles leaning warmer while some runs show diurnal cloud development. This genuine forecast divergence, against April climatological highs around 79°F, underscores sensitivity to afternoon insolation and mixing; watch late April 16 updates from NOAA for refinement ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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