Traders are heavily favoring 94-95°F (44% implied probability) as the peak temperature in Houston on July 25, 2026, followed by 92-93°F (27%), reflecting consensus from National Weather Service and model guidance showing typical midsummer conditions under a building subtropical ridge. Normal highs for late July at Houston Intercontinental Airport average 94-96°F, driven by strong insolation, southerly flow off the Gulf of Mexico, and minimal cloud cover early in the day. Recent developments include an expanding heat dome across Texas that has produced highs in the mid-90s to near 100°F in prior days, with limited afternoon convection expected to provide slight cooling without widespread rain. Model runs show low precipitation chances and dew points in the mid-70s, supporting heat indices above 105°F but limiting extreme outliers. Any late-day sea breeze or scattered storms could cap readings near the lower end of the favored range, while stronger subsidence would push toward 96-97°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Houston le 25 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Houston le 25 juillet ?
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F ou moins <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87 °F <1%
$25,694 Vol.
$25,694 Vol.
25 juil. 2026
83°F ou moins
Non
84-85°F
Non
86-87 °F
Non
88-89°F
Non
90-91°F
Non
92-93°F
Oui
94-95 °F
Non
96-97°F
Non
98-99°F
Non
100-101°F
Non
102°F ou plus
Non
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F ou moins <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87 °F <1%
$25,694 Vol.
$25,694 Vol.
25 juil. 2026
83°F ou moins
$267 Vol.
Non
84-85°F
$225 Vol.
Non
86-87 °F
$343 Vol.
Non
88-89°F
$408 Vol.
Non
90-91°F
$3,074 Vol.
Non
92-93°F
$12,947 Vol.
Oui
94-95 °F
$3,312 Vol.
Non
96-97°F
$2,662 Vol.
Non
98-99°F
$1,553 Vol.
Non
100-101°F
$515 Vol.
Non
102°F ou plus
$390 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are heavily favoring 94-95°F (44% implied probability) as the peak temperature in Houston on July 25, 2026, followed by 92-93°F (27%), reflecting consensus from National Weather Service and model guidance showing typical midsummer conditions under a building subtropical ridge. Normal highs for late July at Houston Intercontinental Airport average 94-96°F, driven by strong insolation, southerly flow off the Gulf of Mexico, and minimal cloud cover early in the day. Recent developments include an expanding heat dome across Texas that has produced highs in the mid-90s to near 100°F in prior days, with limited afternoon convection expected to provide slight cooling without widespread rain. Model runs show low precipitation chances and dew points in the mid-70s, supporting heat indices above 105°F but limiting extreme outliers. Any late-day sea breeze or scattered storms could cap readings near the lower end of the favored range, while stronger subsidence would push toward 96-97°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$25,694Date de fin
25 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are heavily favoring 94-95°F (44% implied probability) as the peak temperature in Houston on July 25, 2026, followed by 92-93°F (27%), reflecting consensus from National Weather Service and model guidance showing typical midsummer conditions under a building subtropical ridge. Normal highs for late July at Houston Intercontinental Airport average 94-96°F, driven by strong insolation, southerly flow off the Gulf of Mexico, and minimal cloud cover early in the day. Recent developments include an expanding heat dome across Texas that has produced highs in the mid-90s to near 100°F in prior days, with limited afternoon convection expected to provide slight cooling without widespread rain. Model runs show low precipitation chances and dew points in the mid-70s, supporting heat indices above 105°F but limiting extreme outliers. Any late-day sea breeze or scattered storms could cap readings near the lower end of the favored range, while stronger subsidence would push toward 96-97°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,694Date de fin
25 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Traders are heavily favoring 94-95°F (44% implied probability) as the peak temperature in Houston on July 25, 2026, followed by 92-93°F (27%), reflecting consensus from National Weather Service and model guidance showing typical midsummer conditions under a building subtropical ridge. Normal highs for late July at Houston Intercontinental Airport average 94-96°F, driven by strong insolation, southerly flow off the Gulf of Mexico, and minimal cloud cover early in the day. Recent developments include an expanding heat dome across Texas that has produced highs in the mid-90s to near 100°F in prior days, with limited afternoon convection expected to provide slight cooling without widespread rain. Model runs show low precipitation chances and dew points in the mid-70s, supporting heat indices above 105°F but limiting extreme outliers. Any late-day sea breeze or scattered storms could cap readings near the lower end of the favored range, while stronger subsidence would push toward 96-97°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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