Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on July 1, 2026, under persistent high pressure, light northerly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit excessive heating. These conditions align with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where average July highs hover around 27–28°C, though brief warm advection could push readings slightly higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities emphasizes this narrow range, with limited upside risk from current guidance and no major model divergence or heatwave signals in the latest updates. Resolution will hinge on the official Turkish State Meteorological Service station reading.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 1er juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 1er juillet ?
28°C 100.0%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$37,885 Vol.
$37,885 Vol.
1 juil. 2026
23°C ou moins
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Oui
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C ou plus
Non
28°C 100.0%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$37,885 Vol.
$37,885 Vol.
1 juil. 2026
23°C ou moins
$681 Vol.
Non
24°C
$1,231 Vol.
Non
25°C
$1,325 Vol.
Non
26°C
$2,751 Vol.
Non
27°C
$2,507 Vol.
Non
28°C
$11,826 Vol.
Oui
29°C
$8,079 Vol.
Non
30°C
$3,039 Vol.
Non
31°C
$2,162 Vol.
Non
32°C
$2,012 Vol.
Non
33°C ou plus
$2,271 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on July 1, 2026, under persistent high pressure, light northerly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit excessive heating. These conditions align with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where average July highs hover around 27–28°C, though brief warm advection could push readings slightly higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities emphasizes this narrow range, with limited upside risk from current guidance and no major model divergence or heatwave signals in the latest updates. Resolution will hinge on the official Turkish State Meteorological Service station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$37,885Date de fin
1 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on July 1, 2026, under persistent high pressure, light northerly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit excessive heating. These conditions align with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where average July highs hover around 27–28°C, though brief warm advection could push readings slightly higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities emphasizes this narrow range, with limited upside risk from current guidance and no major model divergence or heatwave signals in the latest updates. Resolution will hinge on the official Turkish State Meteorological Service station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,885Date de fin
1 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on July 1, 2026, under persistent high pressure, light northerly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit excessive heating. These conditions align with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where average July highs hover around 27–28°C, though brief warm advection could push readings slightly higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities emphasizes this narrow range, with limited upside risk from current guidance and no major model divergence or heatwave signals in the latest updates. Resolution will hinge on the official Turkish State Meteorological Service station reading.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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