Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Istanbul highlight tight clustering around 26–28°C maxima on July 7 due to competing influences from Aegean and Black Sea breezes that moderate daytime heating while seasonal July averages hover near 28°C. Model runs show modest day-to-day variability driven by potential increases in cloud cover, northerly flow, or localized sea-breeze effects that cap highs slightly below climatological norms, supporting the market’s near-even split between the leading 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and updated model consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution probabilities as the event window approaches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 7 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 7 juillet ?
27°C 100.0%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$81,909 Vol.
$81,909 Vol.
7 juil. 2026
22°C ou moins
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Oui
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C ou plus
Non
27°C 100.0%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$81,909 Vol.
$81,909 Vol.
7 juil. 2026
22°C ou moins
$3,706 Vol.
Non
23°C
$3,372 Vol.
Non
24°C
$4,081 Vol.
Non
25°C
$5,981 Vol.
Non
26°C
$16,105 Vol.
Non
27°C
$21,376 Vol.
Oui
28°C
$7,214 Vol.
Non
29°C
$5,108 Vol.
Non
30°C
$6,893 Vol.
Non
31°C
$4,490 Vol.
Non
32°C ou plus
$3,584 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Istanbul highlight tight clustering around 26–28°C maxima on July 7 due to competing influences from Aegean and Black Sea breezes that moderate daytime heating while seasonal July averages hover near 28°C. Model runs show modest day-to-day variability driven by potential increases in cloud cover, northerly flow, or localized sea-breeze effects that cap highs slightly below climatological norms, supporting the market’s near-even split between the leading 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and updated model consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution probabilities as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$81,909Date de fin
7 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Istanbul highlight tight clustering around 26–28°C maxima on July 7 due to competing influences from Aegean and Black Sea breezes that moderate daytime heating while seasonal July averages hover near 28°C. Model runs show modest day-to-day variability driven by potential increases in cloud cover, northerly flow, or localized sea-breeze effects that cap highs slightly below climatological norms, supporting the market’s near-even split between the leading 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and updated model consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution probabilities as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$81,909Date de fin
7 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Istanbul highlight tight clustering around 26–28°C maxima on July 7 due to competing influences from Aegean and Black Sea breezes that moderate daytime heating while seasonal July averages hover near 28°C. Model runs show modest day-to-day variability driven by potential increases in cloud cover, northerly flow, or localized sea-breeze effects that cap highs slightly below climatological norms, supporting the market’s near-even split between the leading 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and updated model consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution probabilities as the event window approaches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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