Traders see 28–30°C as the most likely range for Istanbul’s July 8 maximum because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place the city under a stable subtropical ridge with light northerly flow off the Black Sea, yielding daytime highs near the long-term July average of 28–29 °C. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day spread and no strong southerly advection that would push readings to 32 °C or higher, while the moderating influence of the adjacent seas and typical urban heat-island effects keep the lower tail (26 °C or below) improbable. With resolution only 48 hours away, the tight clustering around 29 °C reflects both climatological precedent and the absence of any short-term drivers capable of shifting the distribution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 8 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 8 juillet ?
30°C 100.0%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$50,077 Vol.
$50,077 Vol.
8 juil. 2026
25°C ou moins
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Oui
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C ou plus
Non
30°C 100.0%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$50,077 Vol.
$50,077 Vol.
8 juil. 2026
25°C ou moins
$2,607 Vol.
Non
26°C
$2,433 Vol.
Non
27°C
$3,433 Vol.
Non
28°C
$3,719 Vol.
Non
29°C
$4,819 Vol.
Non
30°C
$13,474 Vol.
Oui
31°C
$5,521 Vol.
Non
32°C
$6,883 Vol.
Non
33°C
$3,075 Vol.
Non
34°C
$2,018 Vol.
Non
35°C ou plus
$2,097 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 28–30°C as the most likely range for Istanbul’s July 8 maximum because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place the city under a stable subtropical ridge with light northerly flow off the Black Sea, yielding daytime highs near the long-term July average of 28–29 °C. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day spread and no strong southerly advection that would push readings to 32 °C or higher, while the moderating influence of the adjacent seas and typical urban heat-island effects keep the lower tail (26 °C or below) improbable. With resolution only 48 hours away, the tight clustering around 29 °C reflects both climatological precedent and the absence of any short-term drivers capable of shifting the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$50,077Date de fin
8 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 28–30°C as the most likely range for Istanbul’s July 8 maximum because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place the city under a stable subtropical ridge with light northerly flow off the Black Sea, yielding daytime highs near the long-term July average of 28–29 °C. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day spread and no strong southerly advection that would push readings to 32 °C or higher, while the moderating influence of the adjacent seas and typical urban heat-island effects keep the lower tail (26 °C or below) improbable. With resolution only 48 hours away, the tight clustering around 29 °C reflects both climatological precedent and the absence of any short-term drivers capable of shifting the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,077Date de fin
8 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Traders see 28–30°C as the most likely range for Istanbul’s July 8 maximum because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place the city under a stable subtropical ridge with light northerly flow off the Black Sea, yielding daytime highs near the long-term July average of 28–29 °C. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day spread and no strong southerly advection that would push readings to 32 °C or higher, while the moderating influence of the adjacent seas and typical urban heat-island effects keep the lower tail (26 °C or below) improbable. With resolution only 48 hours away, the tight clustering around 29 °C reflects both climatological precedent and the absence of any short-term drivers capable of shifting the distribution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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