Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and regional sources shows Istanbul under a cooler, moister air mass on July 9, with daytime maxima forecast near 25 °C amid passing showers and increased cloud cover that limit solar heating. This places the highest probability on the 25 °C outcome, while the closely traded 26 °C band reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any convective activity or Bosphorus sea-breeze effects. July climatology favors highs near 28–29 °C, yet the current pattern deviates due to a transient trough enhancing moisture and suppressing peak temperatures. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 9 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 9 juillet ?
24°C 100.0%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$128,891 Vol.
$128,891 Vol.
9 juil. 2026
20°C ou moins
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Oui
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C ou plus
Non
24°C 100.0%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$128,891 Vol.
$128,891 Vol.
9 juil. 2026
20°C ou moins
$3,325 Vol.
Non
21°C
$4,999 Vol.
Non
22°C
$13,456 Vol.
Non
23°C
$63,211 Vol.
Non
24°C
$7,034 Vol.
Oui
25°C
$9,283 Vol.
Non
26°C
$6,883 Vol.
Non
27°C
$4,846 Vol.
Non
28°C
$4,943 Vol.
Non
29°C
$4,408 Vol.
Non
30°C ou plus
$6,501 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and regional sources shows Istanbul under a cooler, moister air mass on July 9, with daytime maxima forecast near 25 °C amid passing showers and increased cloud cover that limit solar heating. This places the highest probability on the 25 °C outcome, while the closely traded 26 °C band reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any convective activity or Bosphorus sea-breeze effects. July climatology favors highs near 28–29 °C, yet the current pattern deviates due to a transient trough enhancing moisture and suppressing peak temperatures. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$128,891Date de fin
9 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and regional sources shows Istanbul under a cooler, moister air mass on July 9, with daytime maxima forecast near 25 °C amid passing showers and increased cloud cover that limit solar heating. This places the highest probability on the 25 °C outcome, while the closely traded 26 °C band reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any convective activity or Bosphorus sea-breeze effects. July climatology favors highs near 28–29 °C, yet the current pattern deviates due to a transient trough enhancing moisture and suppressing peak temperatures. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$128,891Date de fin
9 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and regional sources shows Istanbul under a cooler, moister air mass on July 9, with daytime maxima forecast near 25 °C amid passing showers and increased cloud cover that limit solar heating. This places the highest probability on the 25 °C outcome, while the closely traded 26 °C band reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any convective activity or Bosphorus sea-breeze effects. July climatology favors highs near 28–29 °C, yet the current pattern deviates due to a transient trough enhancing moisture and suppressing peak temperatures. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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