Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services points to a peak temperature in Istanbul on June 29, 2026, most likely between 28°C and 29°C, reflecting typical late-June Mediterranean conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 27°C under increased cloud cover or stronger onshore winds, while 30°C or higher would require clearer skies and enhanced warm advection. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical climatology, where daily maxima average near 27°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the modal outcomes amid normal forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 29 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 29 juin ?
29°C 100.0%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$52,059 Vol.
$52,059 Vol.
29 juin 2026
25°C ou moins
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Oui
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C ou plus
Non
29°C 100.0%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$52,059 Vol.
$52,059 Vol.
29 juin 2026
25°C ou moins
$2,297 Vol.
Non
26°C
$1,972 Vol.
Non
27°C
$3,751 Vol.
Non
28°C
$6,709 Vol.
Non
29°C
$18,568 Vol.
Oui
30°C
$8,056 Vol.
Non
31°C
$4,126 Vol.
Non
32°C
$2,746 Vol.
Non
33°C
$1,861 Vol.
Non
34°C
$1,008 Vol.
Non
35°C ou plus
$966 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services points to a peak temperature in Istanbul on June 29, 2026, most likely between 28°C and 29°C, reflecting typical late-June Mediterranean conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 27°C under increased cloud cover or stronger onshore winds, while 30°C or higher would require clearer skies and enhanced warm advection. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical climatology, where daily maxima average near 27°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the modal outcomes amid normal forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 27, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$52,059Date de fin
29 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 27, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services points to a peak temperature in Istanbul on June 29, 2026, most likely between 28°C and 29°C, reflecting typical late-June Mediterranean conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 27°C under increased cloud cover or stronger onshore winds, while 30°C or higher would require clearer skies and enhanced warm advection. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical climatology, where daily maxima average near 27°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the modal outcomes amid normal forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52,059Date de fin
29 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 27, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services points to a peak temperature in Istanbul on June 29, 2026, most likely between 28°C and 29°C, reflecting typical late-June Mediterranean conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 27°C under increased cloud cover or stronger onshore winds, while 30°C or higher would require clearer skies and enhanced warm advection. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical climatology, where daily maxima average near 27°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the modal outcomes amid normal forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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