Latest forecast model consensus from agencies including ECMWF and GFS points to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in Istanbul on June 30, driven by moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating amid the seasonal transition to summer. Sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara moderate afternoon maxima while urban heat island effects and variable humidity add small upward biases, creating tight differentiation between adjacent bins. Historical climatology shows late-June highs averaging near 26–28°C with low interannual variability this time of year, but short-range model runs still exhibit spread tied to the precise timing of any weak trough or insolation changes. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the 27°C versus 28°C margin as resolution criteria hinge on official station readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 30 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 30 juin ?
27°C 100.0%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$47,681 Vol.
$47,681 Vol.
30 juin 2026
23°C ou moins
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Oui
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C ou plus
Non
27°C 100.0%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$47,681 Vol.
$47,681 Vol.
30 juin 2026
23°C ou moins
$574 Vol.
Non
24°C
$862 Vol.
Non
25°C
$1,378 Vol.
Non
26°C
$6,696 Vol.
Non
27°C
$13,451 Vol.
Oui
28°C
$11,323 Vol.
Non
29°C
$6,006 Vol.
Non
30°C
$2,268 Vol.
Non
31°C
$2,845 Vol.
Non
32°C
$1,137 Vol.
Non
33°C ou plus
$1,140 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model consensus from agencies including ECMWF and GFS points to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in Istanbul on June 30, driven by moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating amid the seasonal transition to summer. Sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara moderate afternoon maxima while urban heat island effects and variable humidity add small upward biases, creating tight differentiation between adjacent bins. Historical climatology shows late-June highs averaging near 26–28°C with low interannual variability this time of year, but short-range model runs still exhibit spread tied to the precise timing of any weak trough or insolation changes. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the 27°C versus 28°C margin as resolution criteria hinge on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 28, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$47,681Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 28, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model consensus from agencies including ECMWF and GFS points to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in Istanbul on June 30, driven by moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating amid the seasonal transition to summer. Sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara moderate afternoon maxima while urban heat island effects and variable humidity add small upward biases, creating tight differentiation between adjacent bins. Historical climatology shows late-June highs averaging near 26–28°C with low interannual variability this time of year, but short-range model runs still exhibit spread tied to the precise timing of any weak trough or insolation changes. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the 27°C versus 28°C margin as resolution criteria hinge on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$47,681Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 28, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Latest forecast model consensus from agencies including ECMWF and GFS points to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in Istanbul on June 30, driven by moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating amid the seasonal transition to summer. Sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara moderate afternoon maxima while urban heat island effects and variable humidity add small upward biases, creating tight differentiation between adjacent bins. Historical climatology shows late-June highs averaging near 26–28°C with low interannual variability this time of year, but short-range model runs still exhibit spread tied to the precise timing of any weak trough or insolation changes. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the 27°C versus 28°C margin as resolution criteria hinge on official station readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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