Market-implied odds favor 38°C (34.5%) as Jeddah's highest temperature on April 18, closely trailed by 37°C (25%) and 39°C (18%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula. Recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs project daytime maxima near 38°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, fueled by clear skies, intense solar insolation, and subsiding air, with Jeddah's recent highs (36-37°C over the past week) indicating a warming trend typical for mid-April's seasonal transition. Key differentiators include potential Red Sea sea-breeze intrusion moderating peaks to 37°C versus enhanced subsidence or urban heat island effects pushing toward 39°C. Updated 00Z/12Z model outputs and Saudi National Center for Meteorology bulletins today could refine probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Jeddah on April 18?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 18?
38°C 35%
37°C 26%
39°C 23%
40°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 avr. 2026
33°C or below
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
11%
36°C
11%
37°C
26%
38°C
35%
39°C
23%
40°C
12%
41°C
11%
42°C
3%
43°C or higher
1%
38°C 35%
37°C 26%
39°C 23%
40°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 avr. 2026
33°C or below
$245 Vol.
1%
34°C
$66 Vol.
1%
35°C
$12 Vol.
11%
36°C
$36 Vol.
11%
37°C
$6 Vol.
26%
38°C
$13 Vol.
35%
39°C
$6 Vol.
23%
40°C
$14 Vol.
12%
41°C
$6 Vol.
11%
42°C
$37 Vol.
3%
43°C or higher
$120 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied odds favor 38°C (34.5%) as Jeddah's highest temperature on April 18, closely trailed by 37°C (25%) and 39°C (18%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula. Recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs project daytime maxima near 38°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, fueled by clear skies, intense solar insolation, and subsiding air, with Jeddah's recent highs (36-37°C over the past week) indicating a warming trend typical for mid-April's seasonal transition. Key differentiators include potential Red Sea sea-breeze intrusion moderating peaks to 37°C versus enhanced subsidence or urban heat island effects pushing toward 39°C. Updated 00Z/12Z model outputs and Saudi National Center for Meteorology bulletins today could refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$561Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied odds favor 38°C (34.5%) as Jeddah's highest temperature on April 18, closely trailed by 37°C (25%) and 39°C (18%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula. Recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs project daytime maxima near 38°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, fueled by clear skies, intense solar insolation, and subsiding air, with Jeddah's recent highs (36-37°C over the past week) indicating a warming trend typical for mid-April's seasonal transition. Key differentiators include potential Red Sea sea-breeze intrusion moderating peaks to 37°C versus enhanced subsidence or urban heat island effects pushing toward 39°C. Updated 00Z/12Z model outputs and Saudi National Center for Meteorology bulletins today could refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$561Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds favor 38°C (34.5%) as Jeddah's highest temperature on April 18, closely trailed by 37°C (25%) and 39°C (18%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula. Recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs project daytime maxima near 38°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, fueled by clear skies, intense solar insolation, and subsiding air, with Jeddah's recent highs (36-37°C over the past week) indicating a warming trend typical for mid-April's seasonal transition. Key differentiators include potential Red Sea sea-breeze intrusion moderating peaks to 37°C versus enhanced subsidence or urban heat island effects pushing toward 39°C. Updated 00Z/12Z model outputs and Saudi National Center for Meteorology bulletins today could refine probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes