Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts for London's April 17 high temperature, clustering implied probabilities around 12–19°C following a sharp cooldown from early April's record 26.6°C heat at Kew Gardens. Southwesterly winds ushering mild Atlantic air (highs near 16–18°C) contend with frontal showers and persistent cloud cover, potentially suppressing peaks below 16°C if midday precipitation dominates (favoring 25.5% odds on 12°C or below), or allowing 17–19°C via afternoon clearings (24.5–23.0% for 19–18°C). Model ensembles show low confidence in extremes, with spring climatology (April average ~14°C) and recent rainy trends amplifying uncertainty; watch Met Office updates April 16 for refined guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in London on April 17?
Highest temperature in London on April 17?
17°C 30%
18°C 30%
19°C 21%
16°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
10%
16°C
16%
17°C
30%
18°C
30%
19°C
21%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
1%
17°C 30%
18°C 30%
19°C 21%
16°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
12°C or below
$275 Vol.
1%
13°C
$391 Vol.
2%
14°C
$155 Vol.
4%
15°C
$202 Vol.
10%
16°C
$264 Vol.
16%
17°C
$24 Vol.
30%
18°C
$46 Vol.
30%
19°C
$38 Vol.
21%
20°C
$5 Vol.
6%
21°C
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$202 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts for London's April 17 high temperature, clustering implied probabilities around 12–19°C following a sharp cooldown from early April's record 26.6°C heat at Kew Gardens. Southwesterly winds ushering mild Atlantic air (highs near 16–18°C) contend with frontal showers and persistent cloud cover, potentially suppressing peaks below 16°C if midday precipitation dominates (favoring 25.5% odds on 12°C or below), or allowing 17–19°C via afternoon clearings (24.5–23.0% for 19–18°C). Model ensembles show low confidence in extremes, with spring climatology (April average ~14°C) and recent rainy trends amplifying uncertainty; watch Met Office updates April 16 for refined guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$1,536Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts for London's April 17 high temperature, clustering implied probabilities around 12–19°C following a sharp cooldown from early April's record 26.6°C heat at Kew Gardens. Southwesterly winds ushering mild Atlantic air (highs near 16–18°C) contend with frontal showers and persistent cloud cover, potentially suppressing peaks below 16°C if midday precipitation dominates (favoring 25.5% odds on 12°C or below), or allowing 17–19°C via afternoon clearings (24.5–23.0% for 19–18°C). Model ensembles show low confidence in extremes, with spring climatology (April average ~14°C) and recent rainy trends amplifying uncertainty; watch Met Office updates April 16 for refined guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,536Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts for London's April 17 high temperature, clustering implied probabilities around 12–19°C following a sharp cooldown from early April's record 26.6°C heat at Kew Gardens. Southwesterly winds ushering mild Atlantic air (highs near 16–18°C) contend with frontal showers and persistent cloud cover, potentially suppressing peaks below 16°C if midday precipitation dominates (favoring 25.5% odds on 12°C or below), or allowing 17–19°C via afternoon clearings (24.5–23.0% for 19–18°C). Model ensembles show low confidence in extremes, with spring climatology (April average ~14°C) and recent rainy trends amplifying uncertainty; watch Met Office updates April 16 for refined guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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