Recent Met Office guidance and European ensemble model runs have converged on a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C across London under partly cloudy skies and light south-southeasterly flow, anchoring trader consensus at exactly 21 °C. Official temperature observations, recorded at standard Met Office sites using calibrated instruments, currently align with this narrow range, leaving little room for deviation once the daily highest is confirmed. Historical June averages near 19–20 °C provide climatological context, but the current stable synoptic pattern and absence of strong insolation or advection limit upside potential. The only realistic challenges would involve unexpected convective bursts or slight shifts in cloud cover timing that alter the precise peak recorded at the official stations before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in London on June 15?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$165,776 Vol.
$165,776 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$165,776 Vol.
$165,776 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent Met Office guidance and European ensemble model runs have converged on a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C across London under partly cloudy skies and light south-southeasterly flow, anchoring trader consensus at exactly 21 °C. Official temperature observations, recorded at standard Met Office sites using calibrated instruments, currently align with this narrow range, leaving little room for deviation once the daily highest is confirmed. Historical June averages near 19–20 °C provide climatological context, but the current stable synoptic pattern and absence of strong insolation or advection limit upside potential. The only realistic challenges would involve unexpected convective bursts or slight shifts in cloud cover timing that alter the precise peak recorded at the official stations before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes