Met Office forecasts project a daily maximum of 19°C in London on June 4 under Atlantic-driven showers and moderate southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects typical early-June climatology, where average highs hover near 19–20°C amid variable maritime air masses that limit strong daytime heating. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with limited potential for warmer advection before cooler Atlantic influences dominate. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a stronger southerly wind shift allowing temperatures to reach 20°C or higher, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in London on June 4?
Highest temperature in London on June 4?
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$304,875 Vol.
$304,875 Vol.
4 juin 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$304,875 Vol.
$304,875 Vol.
4 juin 2026
13°C or below
$3,003 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,510 Vol.
No
15°C
$10,558 Vol.
No
16°C
$18,325 Vol.
No
17°C
$42,838 Vol.
No
18°C
$38,924 Vol.
No
19°C
$64,135 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$81,186 Vol.
No
21°C
$33,691 Vol.
No
22°C
$5,403 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$5,303 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Met Office forecasts project a daily maximum of 19°C in London on June 4 under Atlantic-driven showers and moderate southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects typical early-June climatology, where average highs hover near 19–20°C amid variable maritime air masses that limit strong daytime heating. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with limited potential for warmer advection before cooler Atlantic influences dominate. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a stronger southerly wind shift allowing temperatures to reach 20°C or higher, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$304,875Date de fin
4 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Met Office forecasts project a daily maximum of 19°C in London on June 4 under Atlantic-driven showers and moderate southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects typical early-June climatology, where average highs hover near 19–20°C amid variable maritime air masses that limit strong daytime heating. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with limited potential for warmer advection before cooler Atlantic influences dominate. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a stronger southerly wind shift allowing temperatures to reach 20°C or higher, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$304,875Date de fin
4 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Met Office forecasts project a daily maximum of 19°C in London on June 4 under Atlantic-driven showers and moderate southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects typical early-June climatology, where average highs hover near 19–20°C amid variable maritime air masses that limit strong daytime heating. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with limited potential for warmer advection before cooler Atlantic influences dominate. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a stronger southerly wind shift allowing temperatures to reach 20°C or higher, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes