**Forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS, along with official outlooks from Spain’s AEMET and sources such as the UK Met Office, place Madrid’s July 10 maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, with ensemble spreads centering near 36–37 °C.** A persistent subtropical ridge supports strong subsidence warming and clear skies, while weak Atlantic flow limits stronger cooling; however, small differences in the timing or strength of any short-wave trough or increased boundary-layer moisture can trim the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–35 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor an above-normal outcome. Trader positioning remains tight between 35 °C and 37 °C precisely because the latest model runs show overlapping solutions within that narrow window, with resolution depending on the final 48-hour forecast updates from global and regional ensembles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 10 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 10 juillet ?
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$84,643 Vol.
$84,643 Vol.
10 juil. 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C
Oui
37°C
Non
38°C
Non
39°C
Non
40°C
Non
41°C
Non
42°C ou plus
Non
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$84,643 Vol.
$84,643 Vol.
10 juil. 2026
32°C or below
$1,720 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,526 Vol.
No
34°C
$10,543 Vol.
Non
35°C
$10,908 Vol.
Non
36°C
$21,665 Vol.
Oui
37°C
$12,818 Vol.
Non
38°C
$8,453 Vol.
Non
39°C
$9,123 Vol.
Non
40°C
$1,986 Vol.
Non
41°C
$1,330 Vol.
Non
42°C ou plus
$1,570 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS, along with official outlooks from Spain’s AEMET and sources such as the UK Met Office, place Madrid’s July 10 maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, with ensemble spreads centering near 36–37 °C.** A persistent subtropical ridge supports strong subsidence warming and clear skies, while weak Atlantic flow limits stronger cooling; however, small differences in the timing or strength of any short-wave trough or increased boundary-layer moisture can trim the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–35 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor an above-normal outcome. Trader positioning remains tight between 35 °C and 37 °C precisely because the latest model runs show overlapping solutions within that narrow window, with resolution depending on the final 48-hour forecast updates from global and regional ensembles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$84,643Date de fin
10 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS, along with official outlooks from Spain’s AEMET and sources such as the UK Met Office, place Madrid’s July 10 maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, with ensemble spreads centering near 36–37 °C.** A persistent subtropical ridge supports strong subsidence warming and clear skies, while weak Atlantic flow limits stronger cooling; however, small differences in the timing or strength of any short-wave trough or increased boundary-layer moisture can trim the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–35 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor an above-normal outcome. Trader positioning remains tight between 35 °C and 37 °C precisely because the latest model runs show overlapping solutions within that narrow window, with resolution depending on the final 48-hour forecast updates from global and regional ensembles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$84,643Date de fin
10 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
**Forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS, along with official outlooks from Spain’s AEMET and sources such as the UK Met Office, place Madrid’s July 10 maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, with ensemble spreads centering near 36–37 °C.** A persistent subtropical ridge supports strong subsidence warming and clear skies, while weak Atlantic flow limits stronger cooling; however, small differences in the timing or strength of any short-wave trough or increased boundary-layer moisture can trim the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–35 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor an above-normal outcome. Trader positioning remains tight between 35 °C and 37 °C precisely because the latest model runs show overlapping solutions within that narrow window, with resolution depending on the final 48-hour forecast updates from global and regional ensembles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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