Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with its associated cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture influx, represents the main driver keeping Manila's July 11 daytime maximum near or below seasonal norms. Official PAGASA outlooks currently indicate highs of 29–30°C amid frequent showers that limit solar heating, consistent with historical July averages around 31°C but tempered by active monsoon conditions. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, model spreads on cloud thickness, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief clearing and higher peaks. The broad market distribution across 28–31°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 11 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 11 juillet ?
30°C 100.0%
24°C ou moins <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$82,339 Vol.
$82,339 Vol.
11 juil. 2026
24°C ou moins
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Oui
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C ou plus
Non
30°C 100.0%
24°C ou moins <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$82,339 Vol.
$82,339 Vol.
11 juil. 2026
24°C ou moins
$1,674 Vol.
Non
25°C
$634 Vol.
Non
26°C
$1,201 Vol.
Non
27°C
$4,747 Vol.
Non
28°C
$24,651 Vol.
Non
29°C
$9,266 Vol.
Non
30°C
$8,136 Vol.
Oui
31°C
$6,653 Vol.
Non
32°C
$17,398 Vol.
Non
33°C
$5,242 Vol.
Non
34°C ou plus
$2,738 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with its associated cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture influx, represents the main driver keeping Manila's July 11 daytime maximum near or below seasonal norms. Official PAGASA outlooks currently indicate highs of 29–30°C amid frequent showers that limit solar heating, consistent with historical July averages around 31°C but tempered by active monsoon conditions. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, model spreads on cloud thickness, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief clearing and higher peaks. The broad market distribution across 28–31°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$82,339Date de fin
11 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with its associated cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture influx, represents the main driver keeping Manila's July 11 daytime maximum near or below seasonal norms. Official PAGASA outlooks currently indicate highs of 29–30°C amid frequent showers that limit solar heating, consistent with historical July averages around 31°C but tempered by active monsoon conditions. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, model spreads on cloud thickness, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief clearing and higher peaks. The broad market distribution across 28–31°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$82,339Date de fin
11 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with its associated cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture influx, represents the main driver keeping Manila's July 11 daytime maximum near or below seasonal norms. Official PAGASA outlooks currently indicate highs of 29–30°C amid frequent showers that limit solar heating, consistent with historical July averages around 31°C but tempered by active monsoon conditions. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, model spreads on cloud thickness, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief clearing and higher peaks. The broad market distribution across 28–31°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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