Traders assign near-certainty to a 32°C high in Manila on June 1 because this matches both the long-term climatological average for early June and current official guidance from PAGASA, which projects a daily maximum near that threshold under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated showers. The southwest monsoon has begun, bringing typical humidity and afternoon convection that caps daytime peaks without allowing significant deviations. Model consensus and historical observations from the Philippine weather agency show highs rarely straying outside 31–33°C this time of year absent unusual atmospheric blocking. Only an unexpected clear-sky surge or revised observational data could shift the outcome toward 33°C or lower readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Manila on June 1?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 1?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$28,792 Vol.
$28,792 Vol.
1 juin 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$28,792 Vol.
$28,792 Vol.
1 juin 2026
24°C or below
$822 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,463 Vol.
No
26°C
$803 Vol.
No
27°C
$694 Vol.
No
28°C
$894 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,611 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,842 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,232 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,393 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$3,319 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$4,719 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 32°C high in Manila on June 1 because this matches both the long-term climatological average for early June and current official guidance from PAGASA, which projects a daily maximum near that threshold under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated showers. The southwest monsoon has begun, bringing typical humidity and afternoon convection that caps daytime peaks without allowing significant deviations. Model consensus and historical observations from the Philippine weather agency show highs rarely straying outside 31–33°C this time of year absent unusual atmospheric blocking. Only an unexpected clear-sky surge or revised observational data could shift the outcome toward 33°C or lower readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : May 30, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volume
$28,792Date de fin
1 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 30, 2026, 12:26 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 32°C high in Manila on June 1 because this matches both the long-term climatological average for early June and current official guidance from PAGASA, which projects a daily maximum near that threshold under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated showers. The southwest monsoon has begun, bringing typical humidity and afternoon convection that caps daytime peaks without allowing significant deviations. Model consensus and historical observations from the Philippine weather agency show highs rarely straying outside 31–33°C this time of year absent unusual atmospheric blocking. Only an unexpected clear-sky surge or revised observational data could shift the outcome toward 33°C or lower readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,792Date de fin
1 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 30, 2026, 12:26 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Traders assign near-certainty to a 32°C high in Manila on June 1 because this matches both the long-term climatological average for early June and current official guidance from PAGASA, which projects a daily maximum near that threshold under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated showers. The southwest monsoon has begun, bringing typical humidity and afternoon convection that caps daytime peaks without allowing significant deviations. Model consensus and historical observations from the Philippine weather agency show highs rarely straying outside 31–33°C this time of year absent unusual atmospheric blocking. Only an unexpected clear-sky surge or revised observational data could shift the outcome toward 33°C or lower readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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