PAGASA's official 5-day outlook and 5:00 AM public weather forecast for Port Area, Metro Manila—the resolution source—project a maximum temperature of 36°C on May 8, 2026, under easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a mere 10% rain chance. Current observations at 2:00 PM register 34°C, aligning with the expected mid-afternoon peak amid typical May dry-season solar heating and light winds. This scientific consensus from PAGASA models and climatological baselines, where Manila highs average 33–36°C this month, underpins traders' near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 37°C or higher, though low-probability given forecast stability and possible brief showers; final daily measurement will confirm.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Manila on May 8?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 8?
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$39,204 Vol.
$39,204 Vol.
8 mai 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$39,204 Vol.
$39,204 Vol.
8 mai 2026
30°C or below
$3,501 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,995 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,997 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,696 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,595 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,586 Vol.
No
36°C
$5,787 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$5,580 Vol.
No
38°C
$3,914 Vol.
No
39°C
$2,747 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$2,806 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official 5-day outlook and 5:00 AM public weather forecast for Port Area, Metro Manila—the resolution source—project a maximum temperature of 36°C on May 8, 2026, under easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a mere 10% rain chance. Current observations at 2:00 PM register 34°C, aligning with the expected mid-afternoon peak amid typical May dry-season solar heating and light winds. This scientific consensus from PAGASA models and climatological baselines, where Manila highs average 33–36°C this month, underpins traders' near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 37°C or higher, though low-probability given forecast stability and possible brief showers; final daily measurement will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 6, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Volume
$39,204Date de fin
8 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 6, 2026, 12:48 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official 5-day outlook and 5:00 AM public weather forecast for Port Area, Metro Manila—the resolution source—project a maximum temperature of 36°C on May 8, 2026, under easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a mere 10% rain chance. Current observations at 2:00 PM register 34°C, aligning with the expected mid-afternoon peak amid typical May dry-season solar heating and light winds. This scientific consensus from PAGASA models and climatological baselines, where Manila highs average 33–36°C this month, underpins traders' near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 37°C or higher, though low-probability given forecast stability and possible brief showers; final daily measurement will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$39,204Date de fin
8 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 6, 2026, 12:48 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
PAGASA's official 5-day outlook and 5:00 AM public weather forecast for Port Area, Metro Manila—the resolution source—project a maximum temperature of 36°C on May 8, 2026, under easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a mere 10% rain chance. Current observations at 2:00 PM register 34°C, aligning with the expected mid-afternoon peak amid typical May dry-season solar heating and light winds. This scientific consensus from PAGASA models and climatological baselines, where Manila highs average 33–36°C this month, underpins traders' near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 37°C or higher, though low-probability given forecast stability and possible brief showers; final daily measurement will confirm.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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