Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 90-91°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, driven by National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recording a peak of 91°F around 1:50 p.m. EDT amid a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover, maximized solar insolation, and yielded above-normal afternoon heating—well above the May climatological average of 86°F. Real-time ASOS data confirms this positioning, with no higher readings through sunset. Realistic challenges would require a rare preliminary data correction in the forthcoming daily climatological report (CLI), though model forecasts and analogs aligned closely with this outcome. Final NWS verification expected within 24 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Miami on May 7?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 7?
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$82,491 Vol.
$82,491 Vol.
7 mai 2026
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$82,491 Vol.
$82,491 Vol.
7 mai 2026
79°F or below
$1,789 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$1,104 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$2,601 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$7,539 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$10,512 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$8,273 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$14,526 Vol.
Yes
92-93°F
$10,417 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$9,157 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$10,658 Vol.
No
98°F or higher
$5,915 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 90-91°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, driven by National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recording a peak of 91°F around 1:50 p.m. EDT amid a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover, maximized solar insolation, and yielded above-normal afternoon heating—well above the May climatological average of 86°F. Real-time ASOS data confirms this positioning, with no higher readings through sunset. Realistic challenges would require a rare preliminary data correction in the forthcoming daily climatological report (CLI), though model forecasts and analogs aligned closely with this outcome. Final NWS verification expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$82,491Date de fin
7 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 90-91°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, driven by National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recording a peak of 91°F around 1:50 p.m. EDT amid a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover, maximized solar insolation, and yielded above-normal afternoon heating—well above the May climatological average of 86°F. Real-time ASOS data confirms this positioning, with no higher readings through sunset. Realistic challenges would require a rare preliminary data correction in the forthcoming daily climatological report (CLI), though model forecasts and analogs aligned closely with this outcome. Final NWS verification expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$82,491Date de fin
7 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 90-91°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, driven by National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recording a peak of 91°F around 1:50 p.m. EDT amid a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover, maximized solar insolation, and yielded above-normal afternoon heating—well above the May climatological average of 86°F. Real-time ASOS data confirms this positioning, with no higher readings through sunset. Realistic challenges would require a rare preliminary data correction in the forthcoming daily climatological report (CLI), though model forecasts and analogs aligned closely with this outcome. Final NWS verification expected within 24 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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