Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a high of 10°C at 32.5% for Moscow on April 18, reflecting the latest Gismeteo forecast of 11°C maximum alongside ECMWF and GFS ensembles converging on 8-11°C amid an incoming cold front. Recent model runs show northerly winds at 10-20 km/h ushering cooler air masses, extensive cloud cover, and 80%+ precipitation chances for drizzle or light rain, capping diurnal heating after today's cloudy 13°C high. High uncertainty stems from frontal timing discrepancies—earlier passage favors 8-9°C via surface cooling and suppressed sunshine, while delays permit 10-11°C. Key variables include cloud fraction, exact wind shift, and boundary layer mixing; new 12z updates and hourly observations from the official UUWW station (Vnukovo) will sharpen odds before resolution via NOAA timeseries data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Moscow on April 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 18?
10°C 35%
9°C 21%
8°C 18%
11°C 13%
NOUVEAU
$10,142 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,142 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
6°C or below
3%
7°C
8%
8°C
18%
9°C
21%
10°C
33%
11°C
13%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
1%
10°C 35%
9°C 21%
8°C 18%
11°C 13%
NOUVEAU
$10,142 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,142 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
6°C or below
$812 Vol.
3%
7°C
$622 Vol.
8%
8°C
$173 Vol.
18%
9°C
$279 Vol.
21%
10°C
$332 Vol.
33%
11°C
$771 Vol.
13%
12°C
$2,176 Vol.
2%
13°C
$1,427 Vol.
2%
14°C
$1,472 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,111 Vol.
1%
16°C or higher
$969 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a high of 10°C at 32.5% for Moscow on April 18, reflecting the latest Gismeteo forecast of 11°C maximum alongside ECMWF and GFS ensembles converging on 8-11°C amid an incoming cold front. Recent model runs show northerly winds at 10-20 km/h ushering cooler air masses, extensive cloud cover, and 80%+ precipitation chances for drizzle or light rain, capping diurnal heating after today's cloudy 13°C high. High uncertainty stems from frontal timing discrepancies—earlier passage favors 8-9°C via surface cooling and suppressed sunshine, while delays permit 10-11°C. Key variables include cloud fraction, exact wind shift, and boundary layer mixing; new 12z updates and hourly observations from the official UUWW station (Vnukovo) will sharpen odds before resolution via NOAA timeseries data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ET
Volume
$10,142Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a high of 10°C at 32.5% for Moscow on April 18, reflecting the latest Gismeteo forecast of 11°C maximum alongside ECMWF and GFS ensembles converging on 8-11°C amid an incoming cold front. Recent model runs show northerly winds at 10-20 km/h ushering cooler air masses, extensive cloud cover, and 80%+ precipitation chances for drizzle or light rain, capping diurnal heating after today's cloudy 13°C high. High uncertainty stems from frontal timing discrepancies—earlier passage favors 8-9°C via surface cooling and suppressed sunshine, while delays permit 10-11°C. Key variables include cloud fraction, exact wind shift, and boundary layer mixing; new 12z updates and hourly observations from the official UUWW station (Vnukovo) will sharpen odds before resolution via NOAA timeseries data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,142Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a high of 10°C at 32.5% for Moscow on April 18, reflecting the latest Gismeteo forecast of 11°C maximum alongside ECMWF and GFS ensembles converging on 8-11°C amid an incoming cold front. Recent model runs show northerly winds at 10-20 km/h ushering cooler air masses, extensive cloud cover, and 80%+ precipitation chances for drizzle or light rain, capping diurnal heating after today's cloudy 13°C high. High uncertainty stems from frontal timing discrepancies—earlier passage favors 8-9°C via surface cooling and suppressed sunshine, while delays permit 10-11°C. Key variables include cloud fraction, exact wind shift, and boundary layer mixing; new 12z updates and hourly observations from the official UUWW station (Vnukovo) will sharpen odds before resolution via NOAA timeseries data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes