Short-range weather models including GFS and ECMWF project Moscow's highest temperature on April 19 clustering around 5–6°C, driving trader consensus with those outcomes at 26–29.5% implied probabilities amid tight competition. Persistent cloud cover from a lingering upper-level trough suppresses peak daytime heating, while cool northerly winds maintain chilly advection; however, slight model divergences on partial cloud breaks could push highs toward 7–8°C (10–8.5%) or hold at 4°C (11.5%) if overcast dominates. Official observations at Vnukovo Airport (UUWW) will resolve the market, with climatological mid-April averages near 10°C underscoring the current cool anomaly. New ensemble runs overnight may sharpen guidance as resolution nears in 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Moscow on April 19?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 19?
6°C 30%
5°C 26%
4°C 25%
7°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
-1°C or below
<1%
0°C
1%
1°C
2%
2°C
1%
3°C
3%
4°C
18%
5°C
26%
6°C
30%
7°C
11%
8°C
10%
9°C or higher
3%
6°C 30%
5°C 26%
4°C 25%
7°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
-1°C or below
$430 Vol.
<1%
0°C
$286 Vol.
1%
1°C
$267 Vol.
2%
2°C
$191 Vol.
1%
3°C
$405 Vol.
3%
4°C
$23 Vol.
18%
5°C
$26 Vol.
26%
6°C
$9 Vol.
30%
7°C
$286 Vol.
11%
8°C
$466 Vol.
10%
9°C or higher
$1,583 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-range weather models including GFS and ECMWF project Moscow's highest temperature on April 19 clustering around 5–6°C, driving trader consensus with those outcomes at 26–29.5% implied probabilities amid tight competition. Persistent cloud cover from a lingering upper-level trough suppresses peak daytime heating, while cool northerly winds maintain chilly advection; however, slight model divergences on partial cloud breaks could push highs toward 7–8°C (10–8.5%) or hold at 4°C (11.5%) if overcast dominates. Official observations at Vnukovo Airport (UUWW) will resolve the market, with climatological mid-April averages near 10°C underscoring the current cool anomaly. New ensemble runs overnight may sharpen guidance as resolution nears in 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Volume
$3,831Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-range weather models including GFS and ECMWF project Moscow's highest temperature on April 19 clustering around 5–6°C, driving trader consensus with those outcomes at 26–29.5% implied probabilities amid tight competition. Persistent cloud cover from a lingering upper-level trough suppresses peak daytime heating, while cool northerly winds maintain chilly advection; however, slight model divergences on partial cloud breaks could push highs toward 7–8°C (10–8.5%) or hold at 4°C (11.5%) if overcast dominates. Official observations at Vnukovo Airport (UUWW) will resolve the market, with climatological mid-April averages near 10°C underscoring the current cool anomaly. New ensemble runs overnight may sharpen guidance as resolution nears in 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,831Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range weather models including GFS and ECMWF project Moscow's highest temperature on April 19 clustering around 5–6°C, driving trader consensus with those outcomes at 26–29.5% implied probabilities amid tight competition. Persistent cloud cover from a lingering upper-level trough suppresses peak daytime heating, while cool northerly winds maintain chilly advection; however, slight model divergences on partial cloud breaks could push highs toward 7–8°C (10–8.5%) or hold at 4°C (11.5%) if overcast dominates. Official observations at Vnukovo Airport (UUWW) will resolve the market, with climatological mid-April averages near 10°C underscoring the current cool anomaly. New ensemble runs overnight may sharpen guidance as resolution nears in 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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