Forecast ensembles from major models highlight variable Atlantic air mass advection and lingering cloud cover with scattered showers as the main drivers keeping July 10 Moscow highs clustered in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25–27°C outcomes. Daytime solar heating will depend on breaks in overcast conditions and any convective development, while climatological baselines for early July average near 22–24°C. The tight spread across 24–28°C reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in peak timing and local boundary-layer mixing, with fresh model runs and observational updates from Russian meteorological services likely to sharpen resolution probabilities before the market settles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Moscou le 10 juillet ?
28°C 100.0%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$69,782 Vol.
$69,782 Vol.
22°C ou moins
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Oui
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C ou plus
Non
28°C 100.0%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$69,782 Vol.
$69,782 Vol.
22°C ou moins
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Oui
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Forecast ensembles from major models highlight variable Atlantic air mass advection and lingering cloud cover with scattered showers as the main drivers keeping July 10 Moscow highs clustered in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25–27°C outcomes. Daytime solar heating will depend on breaks in overcast conditions and any convective development, while climatological baselines for early July average near 22–24°C. The tight spread across 24–28°C reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in peak timing and local boundary-layer mixing, with fresh model runs and observational updates from Russian meteorological services likely to sharpen resolution probabilities before the market settles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes