Recent short-range model guidance from sources such as ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 13 maximum near 21–24 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on 22–24 °C. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence competes with lingering moisture and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture advection from the northwest, and the exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with successive model runs likely to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Moscou le 13 juillet ?
Température la plus élevée à Moscou le 13 juillet ?
22°C 100.0%
16°C ou moins <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$35,075 Vol.
$35,075 Vol.
13 juil. 2026
16°C ou moins
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Oui
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C ou plus
Non
22°C 100.0%
16°C ou moins <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$35,075 Vol.
$35,075 Vol.
13 juil. 2026
16°C ou moins
$221 Vol.
Non
17°C
$1,054 Vol.
Non
18°C
$2,358 Vol.
Non
19°C
$3,111 Vol.
Non
20°C
$3,375 Vol.
Non
21°C
$3,848 Vol.
Non
22°C
$6,988 Vol.
Oui
23°C
$3,229 Vol.
Non
24°C
$4,601 Vol.
Non
25°C
$3,374 Vol.
Non
26°C ou plus
$2,916 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources such as ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 13 maximum near 21–24 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on 22–24 °C. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence competes with lingering moisture and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture advection from the northwest, and the exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with successive model runs likely to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$35,075Date de fin
13 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources such as ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 13 maximum near 21–24 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on 22–24 °C. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence competes with lingering moisture and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture advection from the northwest, and the exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with successive model runs likely to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,075Date de fin
13 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent short-range model guidance from sources such as ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 13 maximum near 21–24 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on 22–24 °C. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence competes with lingering moisture and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture advection from the northwest, and the exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with successive model runs likely to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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