Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 18 maximum near 24–26 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on those bins. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence and clear skies promote daytime heating while light winds and boundary-layer moisture introduce small uncertainties in peak temperature. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact cloud timing, surface wind speed, and how models resolve afternoon mixing, with updates expected from the next model cycles before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 18 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 18 juillet ?
24°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$30,624 Vol.
$30,624 Vol.
18 juil. 2026
19°C ou moins
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Oui
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C ou plus
Non
24°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$30,624 Vol.
$30,624 Vol.
18 juil. 2026
19°C ou moins
$760 Vol.
Non
20°C
$644 Vol.
Non
21°C
$542 Vol.
Non
22°C
$2,370 Vol.
Non
23°C
$3,361 Vol.
Non
24°C
$5,549 Vol.
Oui
25°C
$8,102 Vol.
Non
26°C
$4,688 Vol.
Non
27°C
$2,232 Vol.
Non
28°C
$1,701 Vol.
Non
29°C ou plus
$675 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 18 maximum near 24–26 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on those bins. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence and clear skies promote daytime heating while light winds and boundary-layer moisture introduce small uncertainties in peak temperature. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact cloud timing, surface wind speed, and how models resolve afternoon mixing, with updates expected from the next model cycles before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$30,624Date de fin
18 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 18 maximum near 24–26 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on those bins. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence and clear skies promote daytime heating while light winds and boundary-layer moisture introduce small uncertainties in peak temperature. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact cloud timing, surface wind speed, and how models resolve afternoon mixing, with updates expected from the next model cycles before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,624Date de fin
18 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 18 maximum near 24–26 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on those bins. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence and clear skies promote daytime heating while light winds and boundary-layer moisture introduce small uncertainties in peak temperature. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact cloud timing, surface wind speed, and how models resolve afternoon mixing, with updates expected from the next model cycles before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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