Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on May 9, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned meteorological models projecting peaks near 34°C (94°F) under mostly sunny skies at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. Recent Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHEPA) updates highlight fewer scattered showers (aguaceros dispersos) than earlier in the week, enabling stronger solar insolation and convective inhibition in the tropical climate, where May averages hover around 31°C. This positioning reflects robust agreement across forecast ensembles, with minimal cloud cover expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, which could introduce shading and precipitation to cap temperatures below 33°C before daily maximum observation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Panama City le 9 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Panama City le 9 mai ?
33°C ou plus 100.0%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$18,713 Vol.
$18,713 Vol.
9 mai 2026
23°C ou moins
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C ou plus
Oui
33°C ou plus 100.0%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$18,713 Vol.
$18,713 Vol.
9 mai 2026
23°C ou moins
$641 Vol.
Non
24°C
$555 Vol.
Non
25°C
$1,597 Vol.
Non
26°C
$982 Vol.
Non
27°C
$1,099 Vol.
Non
28°C
$892 Vol.
Non
29°C
$1,292 Vol.
Non
30°C
$1,442 Vol.
Non
31°C
$1,798 Vol.
Non
32°C
$5,011 Vol.
Non
33°C ou plus
$3,403 Vol.
Oui
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on May 9, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned meteorological models projecting peaks near 34°C (94°F) under mostly sunny skies at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. Recent Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHEPA) updates highlight fewer scattered showers (aguaceros dispersos) than earlier in the week, enabling stronger solar insolation and convective inhibition in the tropical climate, where May averages hover around 31°C. This positioning reflects robust agreement across forecast ensembles, with minimal cloud cover expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, which could introduce shading and precipitation to cap temperatures below 33°C before daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$18,713Date de fin
9 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on May 9, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned meteorological models projecting peaks near 34°C (94°F) under mostly sunny skies at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. Recent Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHEPA) updates highlight fewer scattered showers (aguaceros dispersos) than earlier in the week, enabling stronger solar insolation and convective inhibition in the tropical climate, where May averages hover around 31°C. This positioning reflects robust agreement across forecast ensembles, with minimal cloud cover expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, which could introduce shading and precipitation to cap temperatures below 33°C before daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,713Date de fin
9 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on May 9, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned meteorological models projecting peaks near 34°C (94°F) under mostly sunny skies at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. Recent Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHEPA) updates highlight fewer scattered showers (aguaceros dispersos) than earlier in the week, enabling stronger solar insolation and convective inhibition in the tropical climate, where May averages hover around 31°C. This positioning reflects robust agreement across forecast ensembles, with minimal cloud cover expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, which could introduce shading and precipitation to cap temperatures below 33°C before daily maximum observation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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