Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and warm air advection from southern regions, position Paris for a likely daily maximum near 37–38°C on July 29. Ensemble forecasts from major models show tight clustering around these values due to minimal expected cloud cover and light winds, which maximize daytime solar heating while limiting mixing with cooler air aloft. Urban heat island effects in central Paris further elevate observed readings by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Short-range model runs through July 27 indicate low probability of significant cooling fronts or convective clouds that could cap temperatures below 36°C or push them to 39°C+, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture could still differentiate the top outcomes. Updated Météo-France guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 29 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Paris le 29 juillet ?
37°C 37%
38°C 30%
36°C 26%
35°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 juil. 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
8%
36°C
26%
37°C
37%
38°C
30%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
4%
37°C 37%
38°C 30%
36°C 26%
35°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 juil. 2026
32°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$5 Vol.
2%
34°C
$0 Vol.
2%
35°C
$3 Vol.
8%
36°C
$0 Vol.
26%
37°C
$5 Vol.
37%
38°C
$44 Vol.
30%
39°C
$10 Vol.
4%
40°C
$10 Vol.
1%
41°C
$5 Vol.
1%
42°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and warm air advection from southern regions, position Paris for a likely daily maximum near 37–38°C on July 29. Ensemble forecasts from major models show tight clustering around these values due to minimal expected cloud cover and light winds, which maximize daytime solar heating while limiting mixing with cooler air aloft. Urban heat island effects in central Paris further elevate observed readings by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Short-range model runs through July 27 indicate low probability of significant cooling fronts or convective clouds that could cap temperatures below 36°C or push them to 39°C+, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture could still differentiate the top outcomes. Updated Météo-France guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 27, 2026, 4:03 AM ET
Volume
$82Date de fin
29 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 27, 2026, 4:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and warm air advection from southern regions, position Paris for a likely daily maximum near 37–38°C on July 29. Ensemble forecasts from major models show tight clustering around these values due to minimal expected cloud cover and light winds, which maximize daytime solar heating while limiting mixing with cooler air aloft. Urban heat island effects in central Paris further elevate observed readings by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Short-range model runs through July 27 indicate low probability of significant cooling fronts or convective clouds that could cap temperatures below 36°C or push them to 39°C+, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture could still differentiate the top outcomes. Updated Météo-France guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$82Date de fin
29 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 27, 2026, 4:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and warm air advection from southern regions, position Paris for a likely daily maximum near 37–38°C on July 29. Ensemble forecasts from major models show tight clustering around these values due to minimal expected cloud cover and light winds, which maximize daytime solar heating while limiting mixing with cooler air aloft. Urban heat island effects in central Paris further elevate observed readings by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Short-range model runs through July 27 indicate low probability of significant cooling fronts or convective clouds that could cap temperatures below 36°C or push them to 39°C+, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture could still differentiate the top outcomes. Updated Météo-France guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes