Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C at 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on April 29, driven by official observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), the market's resolution source, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C per recent METAR reports amid clear skies and light southwest winds. China Meteorological Administration forecasts aligned with this, projecting a 19-21°C high under typical spring diurnal heating patterns, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 15-18°C but vary with high-pressure influence. Current evening cooling to around 16°C, post-sunset, solidifies this positioning; a realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon measurement revision or unreported sensor anomaly before daily close, with final data expected from CMA by midnight local time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 29 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 29 avril ?
21°C 100.0%
17°C ou moins <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$32,742 Vol.
$32,742 Vol.
29 avr. 2026
17°C ou moins
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Oui
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C ou plus
Non
21°C 100.0%
17°C ou moins <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$32,742 Vol.
$32,742 Vol.
29 avr. 2026
17°C ou moins
$9,587 Vol.
Non
18°C
$6,786 Vol.
Non
19°C
$2,835 Vol.
Non
20°C
$2,108 Vol.
Non
21°C
$8,081 Vol.
Oui
22°C
$904 Vol.
Non
23°C
$352 Vol.
Non
24°C
$184 Vol.
Non
25°C
$1,343 Vol.
Non
26°C
$254 Vol.
Non
27°C ou plus
$308 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C at 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on April 29, driven by official observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), the market's resolution source, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C per recent METAR reports amid clear skies and light southwest winds. China Meteorological Administration forecasts aligned with this, projecting a 19-21°C high under typical spring diurnal heating patterns, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 15-18°C but vary with high-pressure influence. Current evening cooling to around 16°C, post-sunset, solidifies this positioning; a realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon measurement revision or unreported sensor anomaly before daily close, with final data expected from CMA by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$32,742Date de fin
29 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C at 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on April 29, driven by official observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), the market's resolution source, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C per recent METAR reports amid clear skies and light southwest winds. China Meteorological Administration forecasts aligned with this, projecting a 19-21°C high under typical spring diurnal heating patterns, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 15-18°C but vary with high-pressure influence. Current evening cooling to around 16°C, post-sunset, solidifies this positioning; a realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon measurement revision or unreported sensor anomaly before daily close, with final data expected from CMA by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$32,742Date de fin
29 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C at 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on April 29, driven by official observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), the market's resolution source, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C per recent METAR reports amid clear skies and light southwest winds. China Meteorological Administration forecasts aligned with this, projecting a 19-21°C high under typical spring diurnal heating patterns, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 15-18°C but vary with high-pressure influence. Current evening cooling to around 16°C, post-sunset, solidifies this positioning; a realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon measurement revision or unreported sensor anomaly before daily close, with final data expected from CMA by midnight local time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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