Current numerical weather models, including runs from international and regional systems, indicate a partly cloudy day with a maximum near 30°C for Qingdao on August 25, driven by southerly flow and limited moisture. This places the most probable outcomes around the lower end of the distribution, yet trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 32–33°C. The spread reflects model uncertainty in daytime heating rates, influenced by variable cloud cover, sea-breeze moderation along the coast, and potential for localized clearing that could add 1–3°C. Recent days have featured similar conditions with highs of 29–31°C, providing limited precedent for stronger warming. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will narrow the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 25 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 25 août ?
33°C 31%
32°C 27%
34°C 24%
31°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
12%
31°C
17%
32°C
27%
33°C
31%
34°C
24%
35°C ou plus
7%
33°C 31%
32°C 27%
34°C 24%
31°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
25°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
12%
31°C
$0 Vol.
17%
32°C
$11 Vol.
27%
33°C
$19 Vol.
31%
34°C
$162 Vol.
24%
35°C ou plus
$279 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including runs from international and regional systems, indicate a partly cloudy day with a maximum near 30°C for Qingdao on August 25, driven by southerly flow and limited moisture. This places the most probable outcomes around the lower end of the distribution, yet trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 32–33°C. The spread reflects model uncertainty in daytime heating rates, influenced by variable cloud cover, sea-breeze moderation along the coast, and potential for localized clearing that could add 1–3°C. Recent days have featured similar conditions with highs of 29–31°C, providing limited precedent for stronger warming. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$470Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including runs from international and regional systems, indicate a partly cloudy day with a maximum near 30°C for Qingdao on August 25, driven by southerly flow and limited moisture. This places the most probable outcomes around the lower end of the distribution, yet trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 32–33°C. The spread reflects model uncertainty in daytime heating rates, influenced by variable cloud cover, sea-breeze moderation along the coast, and potential for localized clearing that could add 1–3°C. Recent days have featured similar conditions with highs of 29–31°C, providing limited precedent for stronger warming. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$470Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models, including runs from international and regional systems, indicate a partly cloudy day with a maximum near 30°C for Qingdao on August 25, driven by southerly flow and limited moisture. This places the most probable outcomes around the lower end of the distribution, yet trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 32–33°C. The spread reflects model uncertainty in daytime heating rates, influenced by variable cloud cover, sea-breeze moderation along the coast, and potential for localized clearing that could add 1–3°C. Recent days have featured similar conditions with highs of 29–31°C, providing limited precedent for stronger warming. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will narrow the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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