Trader consensus in the Qingdao July 18 maximum-temperature market centers on 28–31 °C because typical mid-July synoptic patterns over the Yellow Sea produce moderate onshore flow that caps daytime heating near the long-term average high of 27–28 °C. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity frequently suppress peaks relative to inland Shandong stations, while any shift to southwesterly flow or reduced cloud cover can add 2–4 °C. Recent model guidance shows limited spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 32 °C and higher outcomes at low implied probability. Forecasters will watch the next 48-hour runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF for changes in low-level wind direction or subsidence that could tip resolution between the closely matched 28 °C and 31 °C bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 18 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 18 juillet ?
31°C 100.0%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$34,350 Vol.
$34,350 Vol.
18 juil. 2026
25°C ou moins
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Oui
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C ou plus
Non
31°C 100.0%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$34,350 Vol.
$34,350 Vol.
18 juil. 2026
25°C ou moins
$987 Vol.
Non
26°C
$2,190 Vol.
Non
27°C
$3,338 Vol.
Non
28°C
$1,980 Vol.
Non
29°C
$4,016 Vol.
Non
30°C
$4,594 Vol.
Non
31°C
$8,262 Vol.
Oui
32°C
$3,359 Vol.
Non
33°C
$4,073 Vol.
Non
34°C
$902 Vol.
Non
35°C ou plus
$647 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Qingdao July 18 maximum-temperature market centers on 28–31 °C because typical mid-July synoptic patterns over the Yellow Sea produce moderate onshore flow that caps daytime heating near the long-term average high of 27–28 °C. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity frequently suppress peaks relative to inland Shandong stations, while any shift to southwesterly flow or reduced cloud cover can add 2–4 °C. Recent model guidance shows limited spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 32 °C and higher outcomes at low implied probability. Forecasters will watch the next 48-hour runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF for changes in low-level wind direction or subsidence that could tip resolution between the closely matched 28 °C and 31 °C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$34,350Date de fin
18 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Qingdao July 18 maximum-temperature market centers on 28–31 °C because typical mid-July synoptic patterns over the Yellow Sea produce moderate onshore flow that caps daytime heating near the long-term average high of 27–28 °C. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity frequently suppress peaks relative to inland Shandong stations, while any shift to southwesterly flow or reduced cloud cover can add 2–4 °C. Recent model guidance shows limited spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 32 °C and higher outcomes at low implied probability. Forecasters will watch the next 48-hour runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF for changes in low-level wind direction or subsidence that could tip resolution between the closely matched 28 °C and 31 °C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,350Date de fin
18 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus in the Qingdao July 18 maximum-temperature market centers on 28–31 °C because typical mid-July synoptic patterns over the Yellow Sea produce moderate onshore flow that caps daytime heating near the long-term average high of 27–28 °C. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity frequently suppress peaks relative to inland Shandong stations, while any shift to southwesterly flow or reduced cloud cover can add 2–4 °C. Recent model guidance shows limited spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 32 °C and higher outcomes at low implied probability. Forecasters will watch the next 48-hour runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF for changes in low-level wind direction or subsidence that could tip resolution between the closely matched 28 °C and 31 °C bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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