**Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Qingdao on June 11, 2026, reflects the latest official forecasts and observational data locking in that exact maximum.** China Meteorological Administration guidance and international model outputs, including recent runs from sources aligned with AccuWeather and local monitoring, project a peak of 30°C under fine, stable conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover. Current surface readings show temperatures climbing steadily toward this level without breaching it, aligning with typical early-June climatology for the coastal Shandong region where diurnal heating peaks in the low-30s Celsius range absent strong marine influence or frontal systems. The near-100% market-implied probability captures this strong convergence across verified data streams, with traders assigning negligible odds to deviations because no major model disagreement or rapid synoptic change has emerged in the final hours. Realistic challenges remain limited but include an unforecasted increase in low-level stratus or a brief onshore breeze shift that caps temperatures 1–2°C lower; however, such adjustments would require rapid updates from monitoring agencies to alter the outcome before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 11?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 11?
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$31,177 Vol.
$31,177 Vol.
11 juin 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$31,177 Vol.
$31,177 Vol.
11 juin 2026
21°C or below
$517 Vol.
No
22°C
$544 Vol.
No
23°C
$407 Vol.
No
24°C
$515 Vol.
No
25°C
$636 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,144 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,880 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,344 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,704 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,998 Vol.
Yes
31°C or higher
$6,488 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Qingdao on June 11, 2026, reflects the latest official forecasts and observational data locking in that exact maximum.**
China Meteorological Administration guidance and international model outputs, including recent runs from sources aligned with AccuWeather and local monitoring, project a peak of 30°C under fine, stable conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover. Current surface readings show temperatures climbing steadily toward this level without breaching it, aligning with typical early-June climatology for the coastal Shandong region where diurnal heating peaks in the low-30s Celsius range absent strong marine influence or frontal systems.
The near-100% market-implied probability captures this strong convergence across verified data streams, with traders assigning negligible odds to deviations because no major model disagreement or rapid synoptic change has emerged in the final hours.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include an unforecasted increase in low-level stratus or a brief onshore breeze shift that caps temperatures 1–2°C lower; however, such adjustments would require rapid updates from monitoring agencies to alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$31,177Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Qingdao on June 11, 2026, reflects the latest official forecasts and observational data locking in that exact maximum.**
China Meteorological Administration guidance and international model outputs, including recent runs from sources aligned with AccuWeather and local monitoring, project a peak of 30°C under fine, stable conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover. Current surface readings show temperatures climbing steadily toward this level without breaching it, aligning with typical early-June climatology for the coastal Shandong region where diurnal heating peaks in the low-30s Celsius range absent strong marine influence or frontal systems.
The near-100% market-implied probability captures this strong convergence across verified data streams, with traders assigning negligible odds to deviations because no major model disagreement or rapid synoptic change has emerged in the final hours.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include an unforecasted increase in low-level stratus or a brief onshore breeze shift that caps temperatures 1–2°C lower; however, such adjustments would require rapid updates from monitoring agencies to alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,177Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
**Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Qingdao on June 11, 2026, reflects the latest official forecasts and observational data locking in that exact maximum.** China Meteorological Administration guidance and international model outputs, including recent runs from sources aligned with AccuWeather and local monitoring, project a peak of 30°C under fine, stable conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover. Current surface readings show temperatures climbing steadily toward this level without breaching it, aligning with typical early-June climatology for the coastal Shandong region where diurnal heating peaks in the low-30s Celsius range absent strong marine influence or frontal systems. The near-100% market-implied probability captures this strong convergence across verified data streams, with traders assigning negligible odds to deviations because no major model disagreement or rapid synoptic change has emerged in the final hours. Realistic challenges remain limited but include an unforecasted increase in low-level stratus or a brief onshore breeze shift that caps temperatures 1–2°C lower; however, such adjustments would require rapid updates from monitoring agencies to alter the outcome before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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