Official observations from the San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) station, as reported by Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 64-65°F, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Persistent marine layer stratus clouds and gusty westerly winds up to 24 mph suppressed daytime heating, aligning with typical May climatology where average highs hover around 66°F but fog frequently limits peaks. Hourly data peaked midday under partly cloudy skies with trace precipitation, solidifying the measurement. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked late-day readings, though NWS data quality checks make this unlikely; resolution awaits data lock.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 5?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 5?
64-65°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$46,584 Vol.
$46,584 Vol.
5 mai 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$46,584 Vol.
$46,584 Vol.
5 mai 2026
47°F or below
$1,759 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$470 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$619 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$872 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$914 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$3,168 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$5,429 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$6,031 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$8,003 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$8,957 Vol.
Yes
66°F or higher
$10,362 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) station, as reported by Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 64-65°F, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Persistent marine layer stratus clouds and gusty westerly winds up to 24 mph suppressed daytime heating, aligning with typical May climatology where average highs hover around 66°F but fog frequently limits peaks. Hourly data peaked midday under partly cloudy skies with trace precipitation, solidifying the measurement. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked late-day readings, though NWS data quality checks make this unlikely; resolution awaits data lock.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$46,584Date de fin
5 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) station, as reported by Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 64-65°F, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Persistent marine layer stratus clouds and gusty westerly winds up to 24 mph suppressed daytime heating, aligning with typical May climatology where average highs hover around 66°F but fog frequently limits peaks. Hourly data peaked midday under partly cloudy skies with trace precipitation, solidifying the measurement. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked late-day readings, though NWS data quality checks make this unlikely; resolution awaits data lock.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$46,584Date de fin
5 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official observations from the San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) station, as reported by Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 64-65°F, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Persistent marine layer stratus clouds and gusty westerly winds up to 24 mph suppressed daytime heating, aligning with typical May climatology where average highs hover around 66°F but fog frequently limits peaks. Hourly data peaked midday under partly cloudy skies with trace precipitation, solidifying the measurement. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked late-day readings, though NWS data quality checks make this unlikely; resolution awaits data lock.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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