Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to Seattle's highest temperature reaching 50°F or higher today, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 66–67°F under mostly sunny skies and light west winds. This positioning stems from a stable upper-level ridge fostering above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent NOAA model runs (GFS, ECMWF) showing minimal cloud cover and no disruptive fronts through sunset. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the likely resolution station. Realistic challenges—such as sudden marine layer thickening or an unanticipated wind shift from the Strait of Juan de Fuca—remain improbable given steering patterns, though hourly updates from NWS could refine the outlook into evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seattle on April 18?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 18?
50°F or higher 100.0%
31°F or below <1%
32-33°F <1%
34-35°F <1%
$72,849 Vol.
$72,849 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
31°F or below
No
32-33°F
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50°F or higher
Yes
50°F or higher 100.0%
31°F or below <1%
32-33°F <1%
34-35°F <1%
$72,849 Vol.
$72,849 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
31°F or below
$5,250 Vol.
No
32-33°F
$4,723 Vol.
No
34-35°F
$4,290 Vol.
No
36-37°F
$4,782 Vol.
No
38-39°F
$3,695 Vol.
No
40-41°F
$4,903 Vol.
No
42-43°F
$5,321 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$7,783 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$4,328 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$7,854 Vol.
No
50°F or higher
$19,921 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to Seattle's highest temperature reaching 50°F or higher today, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 66–67°F under mostly sunny skies and light west winds. This positioning stems from a stable upper-level ridge fostering above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent NOAA model runs (GFS, ECMWF) showing minimal cloud cover and no disruptive fronts through sunset. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the likely resolution station. Realistic challenges—such as sudden marine layer thickening or an unanticipated wind shift from the Strait of Juan de Fuca—remain improbable given steering patterns, though hourly updates from NWS could refine the outlook into evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Volume
$72,849Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to Seattle's highest temperature reaching 50°F or higher today, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 66–67°F under mostly sunny skies and light west winds. This positioning stems from a stable upper-level ridge fostering above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent NOAA model runs (GFS, ECMWF) showing minimal cloud cover and no disruptive fronts through sunset. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the likely resolution station. Realistic challenges—such as sudden marine layer thickening or an unanticipated wind shift from the Strait of Juan de Fuca—remain improbable given steering patterns, though hourly updates from NWS could refine the outlook into evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$72,849Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to Seattle's highest temperature reaching 50°F or higher today, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 66–67°F under mostly sunny skies and light west winds. This positioning stems from a stable upper-level ridge fostering above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent NOAA model runs (GFS, ECMWF) showing minimal cloud cover and no disruptive fronts through sunset. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the likely resolution station. Realistic challenges—such as sudden marine layer thickening or an unanticipated wind shift from the Strait of Juan de Fuca—remain improbable given steering patterns, though hourly updates from NWS could refine the outlook into evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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