Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 45% implied probability to a high of 24°C or higher in Seoul on April 19, reflecting uncertainty in spring weather patterns amid a recent warming trend, including a 23°C high on April 16 under partly cloudy skies. The Korea Meteorological Administration's aviation forecasts for nearby Incheon indicate a maximum around 22°C with clear conditions and minimal precipitation risk, supported by high-pressure influence bringing ample sunshine and light winds. However, urban heat effects in central Seoul and ensemble model variability—such as potential for stronger solar heating—keep warmer outcomes viable, with 23°C and 22°C at 17% and 14%. Daily KMA updates and new GFS/ECMWF runs expected by April 18 could refine these odds as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Séoul le 19 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Séoul le 19 avril ?
24°C ou plus 47%
23°C 20%
22°C 14%
21°C 8%
NOUVEAU
$17,341 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$17,341 Vol.
19 avr. 2026
14°C ou moins
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
8%
22°C
14%
23°C
20%
24°C ou plus
47%
24°C ou plus 47%
23°C 20%
22°C 14%
21°C 8%
NOUVEAU
$17,341 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$17,341 Vol.
19 avr. 2026
14°C ou moins
$2,127 Vol.
1%
15°C
$4,060 Vol.
1%
16°C
$2,822 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,127 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,880 Vol.
2%
19°C
$1,329 Vol.
2%
20°C
$783 Vol.
6%
21°C
$622 Vol.
8%
22°C
$545 Vol.
14%
23°C
$608 Vol.
20%
24°C ou plus
$1,492 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 45% implied probability to a high of 24°C or higher in Seoul on April 19, reflecting uncertainty in spring weather patterns amid a recent warming trend, including a 23°C high on April 16 under partly cloudy skies. The Korea Meteorological Administration's aviation forecasts for nearby Incheon indicate a maximum around 22°C with clear conditions and minimal precipitation risk, supported by high-pressure influence bringing ample sunshine and light winds. However, urban heat effects in central Seoul and ensemble model variability—such as potential for stronger solar heating—keep warmer outcomes viable, with 23°C and 22°C at 17% and 14%. Daily KMA updates and new GFS/ECMWF runs expected by April 18 could refine these odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$17,341Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 45% implied probability to a high of 24°C or higher in Seoul on April 19, reflecting uncertainty in spring weather patterns amid a recent warming trend, including a 23°C high on April 16 under partly cloudy skies. The Korea Meteorological Administration's aviation forecasts for nearby Incheon indicate a maximum around 22°C with clear conditions and minimal precipitation risk, supported by high-pressure influence bringing ample sunshine and light winds. However, urban heat effects in central Seoul and ensemble model variability—such as potential for stronger solar heating—keep warmer outcomes viable, with 23°C and 22°C at 17% and 14%. Daily KMA updates and new GFS/ECMWF runs expected by April 18 could refine these odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,341Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 45% implied probability to a high of 24°C or higher in Seoul on April 19, reflecting uncertainty in spring weather patterns amid a recent warming trend, including a 23°C high on April 16 under partly cloudy skies. The Korea Meteorological Administration's aviation forecasts for nearby Incheon indicate a maximum around 22°C with clear conditions and minimal precipitation risk, supported by high-pressure influence bringing ample sunshine and light winds. However, urban heat effects in central Seoul and ensemble model variability—such as potential for stronger solar heating—keep warmer outcomes viable, with 23°C and 22°C at 17% and 14%. Daily KMA updates and new GFS/ECMWF runs expected by April 18 could refine these odds as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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