Recent weather models and ongoing humid subtropical conditions in Guangdong province drive the broad distribution around 30–32°C outcomes for Shenzhen's July 17 maximum. Typical July highs average near 32°C under strong solar insolation and urban heat effects, yet scattered afternoon convection or light rain—evident in current forecasts showing 70%+ humidity and possible thunderstorms—can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C. Limited typhoon influence and stable steering patterns add modest upside potential for 33°C+, while historical analogs confirm rare excursions below 29°C or above 34°C this time of year. Updated numerical guidance and official meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 17 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 17 juillet ?
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$134,809 Vol.
$134,809 Vol.
17 juil. 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$134,809 Vol.
$134,809 Vol.
17 juil. 2026
26°C or below
$13,591 Vol.
No
27°C
$32,208 Vol.
No
28°C
$18,171 Vol.
No
29°C
$14,522 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$22,891 Vol.
No
31°C
$11,245 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,916 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,977 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,232 Vol.
No
35°C
$3,474 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$581 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather models and ongoing humid subtropical conditions in Guangdong province drive the broad distribution around 30–32°C outcomes for Shenzhen's July 17 maximum. Typical July highs average near 32°C under strong solar insolation and urban heat effects, yet scattered afternoon convection or light rain—evident in current forecasts showing 70%+ humidity and possible thunderstorms—can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C. Limited typhoon influence and stable steering patterns add modest upside potential for 33°C+, while historical analogs confirm rare excursions below 29°C or above 34°C this time of year. Updated numerical guidance and official meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$134,809Date de fin
17 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather models and ongoing humid subtropical conditions in Guangdong province drive the broad distribution around 30–32°C outcomes for Shenzhen's July 17 maximum. Typical July highs average near 32°C under strong solar insolation and urban heat effects, yet scattered afternoon convection or light rain—evident in current forecasts showing 70%+ humidity and possible thunderstorms—can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C. Limited typhoon influence and stable steering patterns add modest upside potential for 33°C+, while historical analogs confirm rare excursions below 29°C or above 34°C this time of year. Updated numerical guidance and official meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$134,809Date de fin
17 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent weather models and ongoing humid subtropical conditions in Guangdong province drive the broad distribution around 30–32°C outcomes for Shenzhen's July 17 maximum. Typical July highs average near 32°C under strong solar insolation and urban heat effects, yet scattered afternoon convection or light rain—evident in current forecasts showing 70%+ humidity and possible thunderstorms—can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C. Limited typhoon influence and stable steering patterns add modest upside potential for 33°C+, while historical analogs confirm rare excursions below 29°C or above 34°C this time of year. Updated numerical guidance and official meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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