Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and ECMWF/GFS model runs showing a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. This pattern promotes subsidence—downward air motion that suppresses clouds and traps heat—coupled with warm southerly winds advecting desert air, pushing highs well above the April climatological average of 23°C. Recent developments include a marked temperature rise since April 10, with peaks forecasted at 37°C mid-week in lowlands, as confirmed by local updates; prior days like April 14 recorded 30°C. New model ensembles due April 15–16 could shift odds, with resolution per official IMS station data amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
32°C 21%
33°C 21%
31°C 20%
35°C or higher 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
9%
28°C
9%
29°C
12%
30°C
17%
31°C
20%
32°C
21%
33°C
21%
34°C
17%
35°C or higher
18%
32°C 21%
33°C 21%
31°C 20%
35°C or higher 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
11%
27°C
$0 Vol.
9%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C
$0 Vol.
17%
31°C
$0 Vol.
20%
32°C
$0 Vol.
21%
33°C
$0 Vol.
21%
34°C
$0 Vol.
17%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and ECMWF/GFS model runs showing a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. This pattern promotes subsidence—downward air motion that suppresses clouds and traps heat—coupled with warm southerly winds advecting desert air, pushing highs well above the April climatological average of 23°C. Recent developments include a marked temperature rise since April 10, with peaks forecasted at 37°C mid-week in lowlands, as confirmed by local updates; prior days like April 14 recorded 30°C. New model ensembles due April 15–16 could shift odds, with resolution per official IMS station data amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and ECMWF/GFS model runs showing a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. This pattern promotes subsidence—downward air motion that suppresses clouds and traps heat—coupled with warm southerly winds advecting desert air, pushing highs well above the April climatological average of 23°C. Recent developments include a marked temperature rise since April 10, with peaks forecasted at 37°C mid-week in lowlands, as confirmed by local updates; prior days like April 14 recorded 30°C. New model ensembles due April 15–16 could shift odds, with resolution per official IMS station data amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$0Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and ECMWF/GFS model runs showing a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. This pattern promotes subsidence—downward air motion that suppresses clouds and traps heat—coupled with warm southerly winds advecting desert air, pushing highs well above the April climatological average of 23°C. Recent developments include a marked temperature rise since April 10, with peaks forecasted at 37°C mid-week in lowlands, as confirmed by local updates; prior days like April 14 recorded 30°C. New model ensembles due April 15–16 could shift odds, with resolution per official IMS station data amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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