Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS projecting a high near 25-27°C in Tel Aviv on April 18, following a sharp cooldown from the easterly wind-driven heatwave that peaked above 35°C on April 15 and remained unseasonably warm around 30°C on April 16. Strong northerly winds along the coastal plain and increasing sea breeze influence are expected to moderate temperatures, with sunny skies and low precipitation risk supporting peaks in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius. Model ensembles show slight spread due to uncertainties in subsidence strength versus marine layer development, keeping odds tightly clustered; updated IMS guidance and new GFS runs by April 17 could refine the peak hour differential between 26°C and 28°C+ outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 18?
26°C 29%
27°C 20%
28°C or higher 17%
25°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 avr. 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
11%
24°C
10%
25°C
12%
26°C
29%
27°C
20%
28°C or higher
17%
26°C 29%
27°C 20%
28°C or higher 17%
25°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 avr. 2026
18°C or below
$70 Vol.
1%
19°C
$102 Vol.
1%
20°C
$394 Vol.
1%
21°C
$222 Vol.
2%
22°C
$34 Vol.
9%
23°C
$28 Vol.
11%
24°C
$15 Vol.
10%
25°C
$31 Vol.
12%
26°C
$16 Vol.
29%
27°C
$15 Vol.
20%
28°C or higher
$9 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS projecting a high near 25-27°C in Tel Aviv on April 18, following a sharp cooldown from the easterly wind-driven heatwave that peaked above 35°C on April 15 and remained unseasonably warm around 30°C on April 16. Strong northerly winds along the coastal plain and increasing sea breeze influence are expected to moderate temperatures, with sunny skies and low precipitation risk supporting peaks in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius. Model ensembles show slight spread due to uncertainties in subsidence strength versus marine layer development, keeping odds tightly clustered; updated IMS guidance and new GFS runs by April 17 could refine the peak hour differential between 26°C and 28°C+ outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Volume
$939Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS projecting a high near 25-27°C in Tel Aviv on April 18, following a sharp cooldown from the easterly wind-driven heatwave that peaked above 35°C on April 15 and remained unseasonably warm around 30°C on April 16. Strong northerly winds along the coastal plain and increasing sea breeze influence are expected to moderate temperatures, with sunny skies and low precipitation risk supporting peaks in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius. Model ensembles show slight spread due to uncertainties in subsidence strength versus marine layer development, keeping odds tightly clustered; updated IMS guidance and new GFS runs by April 17 could refine the peak hour differential between 26°C and 28°C+ outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$939Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS projecting a high near 25-27°C in Tel Aviv on April 18, following a sharp cooldown from the easterly wind-driven heatwave that peaked above 35°C on April 15 and remained unseasonably warm around 30°C on April 16. Strong northerly winds along the coastal plain and increasing sea breeze influence are expected to moderate temperatures, with sunny skies and low precipitation risk supporting peaks in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius. Model ensembles show slight spread due to uncertainties in subsidence strength versus marine layer development, keeping odds tightly clustered; updated IMS guidance and new GFS runs by April 17 could refine the peak hour differential between 26°C and 28°C+ outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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