Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity typical of the eastern Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, creating the narrow spread between these two outcomes that traders currently price almost evenly. Small differences in model timing of the daily maximum, urban heat-island effects at the official station, or slight wind shifts can determine whether the recorded high settles at 29 °C or reaches 30 °C. Updated guidance later today will refine this boundary ahead of the official observation window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 18?
30°C 100.0%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,565 Vol.
$40,565 Vol.
18 juin 2026
26°C ou moins
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
No
29°C
Non
30°C
Oui
31°C
No
32°C
Non
33°C
No
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C ou plus
Non
30°C 100.0%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,565 Vol.
$40,565 Vol.
18 juin 2026
26°C ou moins
$722 Vol.
Non
27°C
$1,968 Vol.
Non
28°C
$4,282 Vol.
No
29°C
$11,585 Vol.
Non
30°C
$5,062 Vol.
Oui
31°C
$6,269 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,923 Vol.
Non
33°C
$1,000 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,180 Vol.
Non
35°C
$1,020 Vol.
Non
36°C ou plus
$552 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity typical of the eastern Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, creating the narrow spread between these two outcomes that traders currently price almost evenly. Small differences in model timing of the daily maximum, urban heat-island effects at the official station, or slight wind shifts can determine whether the recorded high settles at 29 °C or reaches 30 °C. Updated guidance later today will refine this boundary ahead of the official observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volume
$40,565Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity typical of the eastern Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, creating the narrow spread between these two outcomes that traders currently price almost evenly. Small differences in model timing of the daily maximum, urban heat-island effects at the official station, or slight wind shifts can determine whether the recorded high settles at 29 °C or reaches 30 °C. Updated guidance later today will refine this boundary ahead of the official observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40,565Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity typical of the eastern Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, creating the narrow spread between these two outcomes that traders currently price almost evenly. Small differences in model timing of the daily maximum, urban heat-island effects at the official station, or slight wind shifts can determine whether the recorded high settles at 29 °C or reaches 30 °C. Updated guidance later today will refine this boundary ahead of the official observation window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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