**Japan Meteorological Agency surface observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the official metric for this market—confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 20°C on April 26, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome.** This aligns with short-range forecast models from JMA and global ensembles predicting daytime highs near 20°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate winds, and typical springtime atmospheric stability over the Kanto region, where April averages hover around 19–21°C. Historical data shows Haneda rarely sees late-day spikes beyond model guidance on such days. Realistic challenges include a rare post-preliminary data revision by JMA or an unverified outlier reading, though final validation is expected imminently with negligible risk of upward adjustment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 26?
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$119,828 Vol.
$119,828 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$119,828 Vol.
$119,828 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
**Japan Meteorological Agency surface observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the official metric for this market—confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 20°C on April 26, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome.** This aligns with short-range forecast models from JMA and global ensembles predicting daytime highs near 20°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate winds, and typical springtime atmospheric stability over the Kanto region, where April averages hover around 19–21°C. Historical data shows Haneda rarely sees late-day spikes beyond model guidance on such days. Realistic challenges include a rare post-preliminary data revision by JMA or an unverified outlier reading, though final validation is expected imminently with negligible risk of upward adjustment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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