Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Toronto's highest temperature on April 18, with Environment Canada projecting a 20°C high under cloudy skies and 70% chance of showers amid a lingering frontal system, while The Weather Network sees 16°C with heavier rain. Recent model runs like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a spread around 17-19°C, driven by variable cloud cover and shower timing that could cap solar heating after today's 17°C amid ongoing saturation from multi-day rains ending a decade-long cold spell pattern. Above-normal spring warmth persists, but low-level instability differentiates outcomes; watch Environment Canada updates this evening for refined guidance on boundary layer mixing and precipitation evolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Toronto on April 18?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 18?
18°C 25%
19°C 22%
17°C 19%
20°C 13%
NOUVEAU
$13,566 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,566 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
10%
17°C
19%
18°C
25%
19°C
22%
20°C
13%
21°C or higher
5%
18°C 25%
19°C 22%
17°C 19%
20°C 13%
NOUVEAU
$13,566 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,566 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
11°C or below
$3,868 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$791 Vol.
1%
13°C
$833 Vol.
1%
14°C
$474 Vol.
2%
15°C
$547 Vol.
4%
16°C
$676 Vol.
10%
17°C
$658 Vol.
19%
18°C
$826 Vol.
25%
19°C
$708 Vol.
22%
20°C
$2,230 Vol.
13%
21°C or higher
$1,989 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Toronto's highest temperature on April 18, with Environment Canada projecting a 20°C high under cloudy skies and 70% chance of showers amid a lingering frontal system, while The Weather Network sees 16°C with heavier rain. Recent model runs like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a spread around 17-19°C, driven by variable cloud cover and shower timing that could cap solar heating after today's 17°C amid ongoing saturation from multi-day rains ending a decade-long cold spell pattern. Above-normal spring warmth persists, but low-level instability differentiates outcomes; watch Environment Canada updates this evening for refined guidance on boundary layer mixing and precipitation evolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volume
$13,566Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Toronto's highest temperature on April 18, with Environment Canada projecting a 20°C high under cloudy skies and 70% chance of showers amid a lingering frontal system, while The Weather Network sees 16°C with heavier rain. Recent model runs like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a spread around 17-19°C, driven by variable cloud cover and shower timing that could cap solar heating after today's 17°C amid ongoing saturation from multi-day rains ending a decade-long cold spell pattern. Above-normal spring warmth persists, but low-level instability differentiates outcomes; watch Environment Canada updates this evening for refined guidance on boundary layer mixing and precipitation evolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,566Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Toronto's highest temperature on April 18, with Environment Canada projecting a 20°C high under cloudy skies and 70% chance of showers amid a lingering frontal system, while The Weather Network sees 16°C with heavier rain. Recent model runs like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a spread around 17-19°C, driven by variable cloud cover and shower timing that could cap solar heating after today's 17°C amid ongoing saturation from multi-day rains ending a decade-long cold spell pattern. Above-normal spring warmth persists, but low-level instability differentiates outcomes; watch Environment Canada updates this evening for refined guidance on boundary layer mixing and precipitation evolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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